The Emerging Structure of International Politics

Формирующаяся структура международной политики
Kenneth N. Waltz
1993-01-01

United States hegemonybalance of power theorybipolar structuregreat-power transitioninternational system
During the Cold War, the bipolar structure of international system and the nuclear weaponry available to some states combined to perpetuate a troubled peace. As the bipolar era draws to a close, one has to question the likely structural changes in prospect. Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, bipolarity endures, albeit in an altered state, because Russia stil takes care of itself and no great powers have emerged yet. With the waning of Russian power, the United States is no longer held in check by any other country. Balance of power theory leads one to assume that other powers, alone or in concert, will bring American power into balance. Considering the likely changes in the structure of international system, one can presuppose that three political units may rise to great-power rank: Germany or a West European state, Japan and China. Despite all the progress achieved by these countries, for some years to come, the United States will be the leading country economically as well as militarily
1
After the Soviet Union’s dissolution, bipolarity persists in altered form because Russia remains self-reliant and no new great powers have emerged.
2
As Russian power declines, the United States faces no immediate single-country counterweight and becomes the predominant global power.
3
Balance-of-power theory suggests that other states, individually or collectively, will eventually attempt to counterbalance American power.
4
Germany or another West European state, Japan, and China are identified as likely future candidates for great-power status, while the United States is expected to remain economically and militarily preeminent for years.
5
The Cold War’s bipolar structure, combined with nuclear weapons, helped sustain a troubled but enduring peace.

the emerging structure of the international system after the Cold War

structural changes in the distribution of great-power capabilities and the resulting balance of power, including the prospects for U.S. dominance and the rise of Germany or another West European state, Japan, and China

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1993-01-01
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Kenneth N. Waltz
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