Utility elicitation and maximization from uncertain certainty equivalents
Выявление и максимизация полезности на основе неопределённых эквивалентов определённости
2025-07-15
SCID: 54.1/2wf4sc5w
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certainty equivalentsexpected utility maximizationnon-parametric optimizationpiece-wise linear utilityutility elicitation
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Abstract (AI)
We extend the literature on utility elicitation using an optimization approach taking as input certainty equivalents of the lotteries offering random payoffs. Unlike other known elicitation methods, ours is non-parametric and is always feasible even if reported certainty equivalents are erroneous. Suitable for all risk-averse individuals, the output of our elicitation method is an (approximate) utility function that is increasing, concave and piece-wise linear. We then demonstrate how our approximate utility functions lend themselves to subsequent data-driven expected utility maximization in both ambiguity-neutral and ambiguity-averse setups. Our findings are not only theoretical, but they are also supported by various experiments based on both synthetic and real-world data.
Key Findings
1
For risk-averse individuals, the method produces an approximate utility function that is increasing, concave, and piece-wise linear.
2
Introduces a non-parametric optimization method for eliciting utility from reported certainty equivalents of random-payoff lotteries.
3
The elicitation method remains feasible even when reported certainty equivalents contain errors.
4
The elicited utility functions support data-driven expected utility maximization under both ambiguity-neutral and ambiguity-averse settings.
5
Theoretical results are supported by experiments using synthetic and real-world data.
Research Object
Uncertain certainty equivalents of lotteries and the resulting approximate utility functions for risk-averse individuals
Research Subject
Non-parametric elicitation and data-driven expected-utility maximization under erroneous certainty equivalents, including ambiguity-neutral and ambiguity-averse settings
Publication Details
Publication Date
2025-07-15
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