Neural networks support vector machine for mass appraisal of properties
Нейронная сеть — метод опорных векторов для массовой оценки недвижимости
2020-03-30
SCID: 54.1/3bexadhv
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geographically weighted regressionmass appraisalneural networks support vector machinessingle-family property pricingspatial error model
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Abstract (AI)
Purpose The paper introduced the use of a hybrid system of neural networks support vector machines (NNSVMs) consisting of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVMs) to price single-family properties. Design/methodology/approach The mechanism of the hybrid system is such that its output is given by the SVMs which utilise the results of the ANNs as their input. The results are compared to other property pricing modelling techniques including the standalone ANNs, SVMs, geographically weighted regression (GWR), spatial error model (SEM), spatial lag model (SLM) and the ordinary least squares (OLS). The techniques were applied to a dataset of 3,225 properties sold during the period, January 2012 to May 2014 in Cape Town, South Africa. Findings The results demonstrate that the hybrid system performed better than ANNs, SVMs and the OLS. However, in comparison to the spatial models (GWR, SEM and SLM) the hybrid system performed abysmally under with SEM favoured as the best pricing technique. Originality/value The findings extend the debate in the body of knowledge that the results of the OLS can significantly be improved through the use of spatial models that correct bias estimates and vary prices across the different property locations. Additionally, utilising the result of the hybrid system is thus affected by the black-box nature of the ANNs and SVMs limiting its use to purposes of checks on estimates predicted by the regression-based models.
Key Findings
1
Spatial models improved on OLS by correcting biased estimates and allowing prices to vary across property locations.
2
The NNSVM performed substantially worse than spatial models, with the spatial error model identified as the best pricing technique.
3
The hybrid NNSVM outperformed standalone ANNs, SVMs, and ordinary least squares for property price estimation.
4
The hybrid model’s black-box nature limits its practical use mainly to checking estimates produced by regression-based models.
5
The models were evaluated on 3,225 single-family property sales in Cape Town, South Africa, recorded from January 2012 to May 2014.
6
The paper introduces a hybrid neural-network support-vector-machine system whose SVM pricing output uses ANN results as inputs.
Research Object
Single-family properties sold in Cape Town, South Africa, from January 2012 to May 2014
Research Subject
Property price estimation and comparative predictive performance of hybrid neural-network–support-vector-machine and spatial regression models
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2020-03-30
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