Deep Inception Networks: A General End-to-End Framework for Multi-asset Quantitative Strategies
Deep Inception Networks: универсальная сквозная платформа для многосоставных количественных стратегий
2023-07-07
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Deep Inception Networks (DINs)Variable Selection Networksattentionend-to-end systematic tradingfutures dataportfolio-level Sharpe ratio optimizationtime series and cross-sectional feature extractionturnover regularisation and market-correlation penalty
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Abstract (AI)
We introduce Deep Inception Networks (DINs), a family of Deep Learning models that provide a general framework for end-to-end systematic trading strategies. DINs extract time series (TS) and cross sectional (CS) features directly from daily price returns. This removes the need for handcrafted features, and allows the model to learn from TS and CS information simultaneously. DINs benefit from a fully data-driven approach to feature extraction, whilst avoiding overfitting. Extending prior work on Deep Momentum Networks, DIN models directly output position sizes that optimise Sharpe ratio, but for the entire portfolio instead of individual assets. We propose a novel loss term to balance turnover regularisation against increased systemic risk from high correlation to the overall market. Using futures data, we show that DIN models outperform traditional TS and CS benchmarks, are robust to a range of transaction costs and perform consistently across random seeds. To balance the general nature of DIN models, we provide examples of how attention and Variable Selection Networks can aid the interpretability of investment decisions. These model-specific methods are particularly useful when the dimensionality of the input is high and variable importance fluctuates dynamically over time. Finally, we compare the performance of DIN models on other asset classes, and show how the space of potential features can be customised.
Key Findings
1
A novel loss term is proposed to trade off turnover regularization against increased systemic risk from high correlation with the overall market.
2
Attention mechanisms and Variable Selection Networks can be integrated into DINs to improve interpretability when input dimensionality is high and variable importance changes over time.
3
DINs can be applied to other asset classes and allow customization of the potential feature space to balance generality and domain-specific needs.
4
DINs learn TS and CS information simultaneously and output portfolio-level position sizes that directly optimize Sharpe ratio across the entire portfolio rather than per-asset.
5
Deep Inception Networks (DINs) provide an end-to-end deep learning framework that extracts time-series and cross-sectional features directly from daily price returns, removing the need for handcrafted features.
6
On futures data, DIN models outperform traditional time-series and cross-sectional benchmarks, remain robust to a range of transaction costs, and show consistent performance across random seeds.
Research Object
Deep Inception Networks (DINs) as an end-to-end deep learning framework for multi-asset systematic trading strategies operating on daily price returns
Research Subject
Learning time-series and cross-sectional features to directly output portfolio-level position sizes that optimize Sharpe ratio while balancing turnover regularization and systemic (market) correlation risk
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2023-07-07
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