Comment on nhess-2022-97

Комментарий к статье nhess-2022-97
Nicolas J. Cullen, Pascal Sirguey, Simon Conway Morris, Kevin Thompson, Perry Bartelt, Todd Redpath, Aubrey Miller, Yves BÃ ⁄ hler
2022-04-25

Rapid Mass Movements Simulationdigital elevation modelssatellite photogrammetrysnow avalancheterrestrial LiDAR
Natural hazard models need accurate digital elevation models (DEMs) to simulate mass movements on three-dimensional terrain. A variety of platforms (terrestrial, drones, aerial, satellite) and sensor technologies (photogrammetry, LiDAR, interferometric synthetic aperture radar) are used to generate DEMs at a range of spatial resolutions with varying accuracy. As the availability of high-resolution DEMs continues to increase and the cost to produce DEMs continues to fall, hazard modellers must often choose which DEM to use for their modelling. Here we use current state-of-the-art sensor technologies (satellite photogrammetry and terrestrial LiDAR) to generate high-resolution DEMs and test the sensitivity of the Rapid Mass Movements Simulation software (RAMMS) to the DEM source and spatial resolution for simulating a large and complex snow avalanche along Milford Road in Fiordland, Aotearoa New Zealand. Holding the RAMMS parameters constant while adjusting the source and spatial resolution of the DEM reveals how differences in terrain representation between the satellite photogrammetry and terrestrial LiDAR DEMs (2 m spatial resolution) affect the reliability of the simulation estimates (e.g., maximum core velocity, powder pressure, final debris pattern). At the same time, coarser representations of the terrain (5 m, 15 m spatial resolution) produce simulated avalanches that run too far and produce a powder cloud that is too large, though with lower maximum impact pressures, compared to the actual event. The complex nature of the alpine terrain in the avalanche path (steep, rough, rock faces, tree-less) made it a suitable location to specifically test the model sensitivity to digital surface models (DSMs) where both the ground and above-ground features on the topography are included in the elevation model. Combined with the nature of the snowpack in the path (warm, deep with a steep elevation gradient) lying on a bedrock surface and plunging over a cliff, RAMMS performed well in the challenging conditions when using the high spatial-resolution 2 m DSM.
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At 2 m resolution, terrain differences between satellite photogrammetry and terrestrial LiDAR DEMs affect estimates of maximum core velocity, powder pressure, and final debris distribution.
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Coarser 5 m and 15 m terrain representations simulate avalanches that travel too far and generate excessively large powder clouds, while underestimating maximum impact pressures.
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RAMMS performed well under challenging alpine conditions when using a high-resolution 2 m digital surface model containing ground and above-ground terrain features.
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The study tests RAMMS sensitivity to DEM source and spatial resolution using satellite photogrammetry and terrestrial LiDAR for a complex snow avalanche in Fiordland, New Zealand.

A large and complex snow avalanche along Milford Road in Fiordland, Aotearoa New Zealand, modeled over three-dimensional alpine terrain

Sensitivity and reliability of RAMMS avalanche simulations to DEM/DSM source and spatial resolution, including effects on avalanche runout, maximum velocity, powder pressure, impact pressure, and final debris pattern

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2022-04-25
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Nicolas J. Cullen
Pascal Sirguey
Simon Conway Morris
Kevin Thompson
Perry Bartelt
Todd Redpath
Aubrey Miller
Yves BÃ ⁄ hler
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