Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea‐ice/ocean feedbacks

Резкое начало Малого ледникового периода, вызванное вулканизмом и поддерживаемое обратными связями между морским льдом и океаном
Gifford H. Miller, Áslaug Geirsdóttir, Yafang Zhong, D. J. Larsen, Bette L. Otto‐Bliesner, Marika M. Holland, David A. Bailey, Kurt A. Refsnider, Scott J. Lehman, John Southon, Chance Anderson, Helgi Björnsson, T. Thórdarson
2012-01-01

Little Ice Ageexplosive volcanismsea-ice/ocean feedbackssummer insolationvolcanic forcing
Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures over the past 8000 years have been paced by the slow decrease in summer insolation resulting from the precession of the equinoxes. However, the causes of superposed century‐scale cold summer anomalies, of which the Little Ice Age (LIA) is the most extreme, remain debated, largely because the natural forcings are either weak or, in the case of volcanism, short lived. Here we present precisely dated records of ice‐cap growth from Arctic Canada and Iceland showing that LIA summer cold and ice growth began abruptly between 1275 and 1300 AD, followed by a substantial intensification 1430–1455 AD. Intervals of sudden ice growth coincide with two of the most volcanically perturbed half centuries of the past millennium. A transient climate model simulation shows that explosive volcanism produces abrupt summer cooling at these times, and that cold summers can be maintained by sea‐ice/ocean feedbacks long after volcanic aerosols are removed. Our results suggest that the onset of the LIA can be linked to an unusual 50‐year‐long episode with four large sulfur‐rich explosive eruptions, each with global sulfate loading >60 Tg. The persistence of cold summers is best explained by consequent sea‐ice/ocean feedbacks during a hemispheric summer insolation minimum; large changes in solar irradiance are not required.
1
A second substantial intensification of ice growth occurred between 1430 and 1455 AD.
2
Precisely dated ice-cap records show that Little Ice Age summer cooling and ice growth began abruptly between 1275 and 1300 AD.
3
The Little Ice Age onset is linked to four large sulfur-rich eruptions over 50 years, each exceeding 60 Tg of global sulfate loading; large solar-irradiance changes were unnecessary.
4
The abrupt ice-growth intervals coincide with two of the most volcanically perturbed 50-year periods of the past millennium.
5
Transient climate simulations indicate that explosive volcanism caused abrupt summer cooling, while sea-ice/ocean feedbacks sustained cold summers after volcanic aerosols disappeared.

Little Ice Age summer climate and Arctic ice-cap growth

The abrupt volcanic triggering and sea-ice/ocean feedback mechanisms sustaining LIA summer cooling and ice growth

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2012-01-01
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Gifford H. Miller
Áslaug Geirsdóttir
Yafang Zhong
D. J. Larsen
Bette L. Otto‐Bliesner
Marika M. Holland
David A. Bailey
Kurt A. Refsnider
Scott J. Lehman
John Southon
Chance Anderson
Helgi Björnsson
T. Thórdarson
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