Automated land valuation models: A comparative study of four machine learning and deep learning methods based on a comprehensive range of influential factors

Автоматизированные модели оценки земли: сравнительное исследование четырех методов машинного обучения и глубокого обучения на основе комплексного набора влиятельных факторов
Abbas Rajabifard, Tuan Ngo, Peyman Jafary, Davood Shojaei
2024-05-15

Automated Valuation Models (AVMs)Deep Neural Network (DNN)Melbourne Metropolitan datasetSupport Vector Regression (SVR)automated land valuationeXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)evaluation metrics R2, MAPE, nRMSEfeature selectionhyperparameter tuninginfluential factors (physical, geographical, socio-economic, environmental, legal, planning)random forest
Accurate land valuation is necessary for tax purposes, land resources allocation, real estate management and urban development and planning. Since various factors from different domains affect land prices through non-linear relationships, automating the land valuation process on a large scale is a complex task. Advanced technologies in big data analysis and artificial intelligence have demonstrated superior capabilities in knowledge extraction in such cases. Accordingly, this paper develops and compares the performance of four Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) based on machine learning and deep learning techniques utilizing physical, geographical, socio-economic, environmental, legal and planning factors in Melbourne Metropolitan, Australia. According to the results, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method outperforms other algorithms of Support Vector Regression (SVR), random forest and Deep Neural Network (DNN). This method has achieved the coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.862, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.139, and normalized Root Mean Square Error (nRMSE) of 0.281. The achieved high accuracy is due to incorporating a wide range of driving factors and applying innovative feature selection and hyperparameter tuning procedures evaluating various possible feature sets and hyperparameters. Accordingly, this paper can contribute to research, governmental and industry-based activities in terms of developing AVMs for mass land valuation.
1
High accuracy is attributed to incorporating physical, geographical, socio-economic, environmental, legal and planning factors.
2
Innovative feature selection and hyperparameter tuning across various feature sets and hyperparameters contributed to improved model performance.
3
The proposed AVMs can support research, government, and industry applications for mass land valuation.
4
The study develops and compares four Automated Valuation Models (XGBoost, SVR, Random Forest, DNN) for land valuation in Melbourne using diverse factors.
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XGBoost achieved R2 = 0.862, MAPE = 0.139, and nRMSE = 0.281 on the evaluated dataset.
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XGBoost outperforms SVR, Random Forest, and DNN in land price prediction for the dataset used.

Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) for mass land valuation in Melbourne Metropolitan, Australia

Comparative performance of four machine learning and deep learning methods (XGBoost, SVR, random forest, DNN) in predicting land values using a comprehensive set of physical, geographical, socio-economic, environmental, legal and planning factors, including feature selection and hyperparameter tuning impact on accuracy metrics (R2, MAPE, nRMSE)

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2024-05-15
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Abbas Rajabifard
Tuan Ngo
Peyman Jafary
Davood Shojaei
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