An AI-agent-orchestrated grey-box Transformer framework for sparse pharmacokinetic curve reconstruction and pharmacometric model initialization
Серая модель на основе Transformer, оркестрируемая ИИ-агентом, для реконструкции разреженных фармакокинетических кривых и инициализации фармакометрических моделей
2026-05-27
SCID: 54.1/5rs9dcxz
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AI-agent-orchestrated pharmacometricsNONMEM nonlinear mixed-effects modellingPharmacokinetic Foundation Modelgrey-box Transformersparse pharmacokinetic curve reconstruction
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Abstract (AI)
Clinical pharmacokinetic (PK) modelling is constrained by sparse sampling, limited generalisability of single-drug models, and labour-intensive workflows, making it difficult to infer complete drug exposure from limited concentration observations. We present the Pharmacokinetic Foundation Model (PKFM), a grey-box Transformer framework pre-trained across 32 drugs that reconstructs concentration-time profiles from sparse concentration observations, dosing events, molecular descriptors, and physiological covariates while preserving output interpretability. In representative oral PK curves, three sparse input points recovered the principal absorption-elimination trajectory, achieving coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.992 for Midazolam oral and R2 = 0.990 for Verapamil oral. Using reconstructed curves in NONMEM (nonlinear mixed-effects modelling) improved covariance stability and individual prediction accuracy. Contrastive-learning embeddings supported Top-10 physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) candidate retrieval, with 75.6% of observations within the 2-fold range. A pharmacometrics-informed AI Agent (PM Agent) outperformed general-purpose programming tools in stability and pairwise win rate on a standardised modelling benchmark, with each run requiring human pharmacometrician confirmation before downstream use. These results support cross-drug pre-trained PK models as an information-completion layer for sparse PK evidence and a structured scaffold for the modelling workflow; clinical or regulatory use requires prospective validation, broader external benchmarking, and independent expert assessment.
Key Findings
1
Clinical or regulatory deployment requires prospective validation, broader external benchmarking, and independent expert assessment.
2
Contrastive-learning embeddings enabled Top-10 PBPK candidate retrieval, with 75.6% of observations within the 2-fold range.
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Incorporating reconstructed curves into NONMEM improved covariance stability and individual prediction accuracy.
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The PKFM grey-box Transformer was pre-trained across 32 drugs to reconstruct concentration–time profiles from sparse observations, dosing, molecular, and physiological data.
5
The pharmacometrics-informed PM Agent outperformed general-purpose programming tools in stability and pairwise win rate, while requiring pharmacometrician confirmation before downstream use.
6
Using three sparse input points, PKFM recovered principal oral absorption–elimination trajectories with R² = 0.992 for Midazolam and R² = 0.990 for Verapamil.
Research Object
Drug pharmacokinetic concentration–time profiles under sparse observations, dosing events, molecular descriptors, and physiological covariates
Research Subject
Reconstruction of sparse drug exposure profiles and initialization, stability, accuracy, and candidate-retrieval performance of pharmacometric models
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2026-05-27
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