An AI-agent-orchestrated grey-box Transformer framework for sparse pharmacokinetic curve reconstruction and pharmacometric model initialization

Серая модель на основе Transformer, оркестрируемая ИИ-агентом, для реконструкции разреженных фармакокинетических кривых и инициализации фармакометрических моделей
Jingcheng Chen, Yi-Xiang Wang, Songrui Du, Yangsheng Chen, Li K, Jian Song, Dongyang Liu
2026-05-27

AI-agent-orchestrated pharmacometricsNONMEM nonlinear mixed-effects modellingPharmacokinetic Foundation Modelgrey-box Transformersparse pharmacokinetic curve reconstruction
Clinical pharmacokinetic (PK) modelling is constrained by sparse sampling, limited generalisability of single-drug models, and labour-intensive workflows, making it difficult to infer complete drug exposure from limited concentration observations. We present the Pharmacokinetic Foundation Model (PKFM), a grey-box Transformer framework pre-trained across 32 drugs that reconstructs concentration-time profiles from sparse concentration observations, dosing events, molecular descriptors, and physiological covariates while preserving output interpretability. In representative oral PK curves, three sparse input points recovered the principal absorption-elimination trajectory, achieving coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.992 for Midazolam oral and R2 = 0.990 for Verapamil oral. Using reconstructed curves in NONMEM (nonlinear mixed-effects modelling) improved covariance stability and individual prediction accuracy. Contrastive-learning embeddings supported Top-10 physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) candidate retrieval, with 75.6% of observations within the 2-fold range. A pharmacometrics-informed AI Agent (PM Agent) outperformed general-purpose programming tools in stability and pairwise win rate on a standardised modelling benchmark, with each run requiring human pharmacometrician confirmation before downstream use. These results support cross-drug pre-trained PK models as an information-completion layer for sparse PK evidence and a structured scaffold for the modelling workflow; clinical or regulatory use requires prospective validation, broader external benchmarking, and independent expert assessment.
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Clinical or regulatory deployment requires prospective validation, broader external benchmarking, and independent expert assessment.
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Contrastive-learning embeddings enabled Top-10 PBPK candidate retrieval, with 75.6% of observations within the 2-fold range.
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Incorporating reconstructed curves into NONMEM improved covariance stability and individual prediction accuracy.
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The PKFM grey-box Transformer was pre-trained across 32 drugs to reconstruct concentration–time profiles from sparse observations, dosing, molecular, and physiological data.
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The pharmacometrics-informed PM Agent outperformed general-purpose programming tools in stability and pairwise win rate, while requiring pharmacometrician confirmation before downstream use.
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Using three sparse input points, PKFM recovered principal oral absorption–elimination trajectories with R² = 0.992 for Midazolam and R² = 0.990 for Verapamil.

Drug pharmacokinetic concentration–time profiles under sparse observations, dosing events, molecular descriptors, and physiological covariates

Reconstruction of sparse drug exposure profiles and initialization, stability, accuracy, and candidate-retrieval performance of pharmacometric models

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2026-05-27
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Jingcheng Chen
Yi-Xiang Wang
Songrui Du
Yangsheng Chen
Li K
Jian Song
Dongyang Liu
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