Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting

Золотые яйца и гиперболическое дисконтирование
David Laibson
1997-05-01

dynamic inconsistencyhyperbolic discountingilliquid assetsimperfect commitmentmarginal propensity to consume
Hyperbolic discount functions induce dynamically inconsistent preferences, implying a motive for consumers to constrain their own future choices. This paper analyzes the decisions of a hyperbolic consumer who has access to an imperfect commitment technology: an illiquid asset whose sale must be initiated one period before the sale proceeds are received. The model predicts that consumption tracks income, and the model explains why consumers have asset-specific marginal propensities to consume. The model suggests that financial innovation may have caused the ongoing decline in U. S. savings rates, since financial innovation increases liquidity, eliminating commitment opportunities. Finally, the model implies that financial market innovation may reduce welfare by providing "too much" liquidity.
1
An illiquid asset requiring sale initiation one period before receiving proceeds provides an imperfect commitment technology in the model.
2
Financial innovation may have contributed to declining U.S. savings rates by increasing liquidity and eliminating commitment opportunities.
3
Greater financial-market liquidity can reduce welfare by providing consumers with “too much” liquidity.
4
Hyperbolic discounting creates dynamically inconsistent preferences, motivating consumers to constrain their own future choices.
5
The model predicts that consumption tracks income and explains why marginal propensities to consume differ across asset types.

a hyperbolic consumer with access to an imperfect commitment technology, specifically an illiquid asset whose sale is initiated one period before proceeds are received

the consumer’s consumption, saving, asset-specific marginal propensities to consume, and welfare effects of liquidity and financial innovation under dynamically inconsistent preferences

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1997-05-01
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David Laibson
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