cancer incidencecancer mortalitylung cancernonsmall cell lung cancerrelative survival
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Abstract (AI)
Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence. Incidence data (through 2017) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2018) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2021, 1,898,160 new cancer cases and 608,570 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. After increasing for most of the 20th century, the cancer death rate has fallen continuously from its peak in 1991 through 2018, for a total decline of 31%, because of reductions in smoking and improvements in early detection and treatment. This translates to 3.2 million fewer cancer deaths than would have occurred if peak rates had persisted. Long-term declines in mortality for the 4 leading cancers have halted for prostate cancer and slowed for breast and colorectal cancers, but accelerated for lung cancer, which accounted for almost one-half of the total mortality decline from 2014 to 2018. The pace of the annual decline in lung cancer mortality doubled from 3.1% during 2009 through 2013 to 5.5% during 2014 through 2018 in men, from 1.8% to 4.4% in women, and from 2.4% to 5% overall. This trend coincides with steady declines in incidence (2.2%-2.3%) but rapid gains in survival specifically for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). For example, NSCLC 2-year relative survival increased from 34% for persons diagnosed during 2009 through 2010 to 42% during 2015 through 2016, including absolute increases of 5% to 6% for every stage of diagnosis; survival for small cell lung cancer remained at 14% to 15%. Improved treatment accelerated progress against lung cancer and drove a record drop in overall cancer mortality, despite slowing momentum for other common cancers.
Key Findings
1
Lung cancer accounted for nearly half of the overall cancer mortality decline from 2014 to 2018, with annual mortality reductions accelerating to 5% overall.
2
Lung cancer mortality improvements coincided with incidence declines of 2.2%-2.3% and substantial NSCLC survival gains, with 2-year relative survival increasing from 34% to 42%.
3
Progress against prostate, breast, and colorectal cancers has halted or slowed, while small cell lung cancer survival remained low at 14% to 15%.
4
The United States is projected to have 1,898,160 new cancer cases and 608,570 cancer deaths in 2021.
5
The cancer death rate declined continuously from its 1991 peak through 2018, falling 31% and preventing approximately 3.2 million deaths compared with persistent peak rates.
Research Object
Cancer burden in the United States (annual new cancer cases and cancer deaths)
Research Subject
Temporal trends and projected numbers of cancer incidence and mortality, including changes in lung cancer mortality and survival
Publication Details
Publication Date
2021-01-01
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17445
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