Estimation of volatility functionals in the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps

Оценивание функционалов волатильности при одновременном наличии микроструктурного шума и скачков
Mark Podolskij, Mathias Vetter
2009-08-01

integrated quarticityintegrated volatilityjumpsmicrostructure noisemodulated bipower variation
We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity. Under mild conditions the consistency of modulated bipower variation is proven. Under further assumptions we prove stable convergence of our estimates with the optimal rate $n^{−1/4}$. Moreover, we construct estimates which are robust to finite activity jumps.
1
Introduces modulated bipower variation for estimating volatility functionals in diffusion models affected by microstructure noise.
2
The approach enables estimation despite the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps.
3
The method provides consistent estimates of integrated volatility and integrated quarticity under mild conditions.
4
The paper constructs estimators robust to finite-activity jumps.
5
Under stronger assumptions, the estimators achieve stable convergence at the optimal rate n^{−1/4}.

Diffusion models with microstructure noise and finite-activity jumps

Estimation of volatility functionals, including integrated volatility and integrated quarticity, with consistency, stable convergence, and robustness to jumps

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2009-08-01
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Mark Podolskij
Mathias Vetter
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