Deposit Inflows and Outflows in Failing Banks: The Role of Deposit Insurance

Притоки и оттоки депозитов в обанкрочивающихся банках: роль страхования депозитов
Christopher Martin, Manju Puri, Alexander Ufier
2018-05-01

bank runsdeposit inflowsdeposit insurancedepositor disciplineuninsured deposit outflows
Using unique, daily, account-level balances data we investigate deposit stability and the drivers of deposit outflows and inflows in a distressed bank. We observe an outflow of uninsured depositors from the bank following bad regulatory news. We find that government deposit guarantees, both regular deposit insurance and temporary deposit insurance measures, reduce the outflow of deposits. We also characterize which accounts are more stable (e.g., checking accounts and older accounts). We further provide important new evidence that, simultaneous with the run-off, gross funding inflows are large and of first-order impact -a result which is missed when looking at aggregated deposit data alone. Losses of uninsured deposits were largely offset with new insured deposits as the bank approached failure. We show our results hold more generally using a large sample of banks that faced regulatory action. Our results raise questions about depositor discipline, widely considered to be one of the key pillars of financial stability, raising the importance of other mechanisms of restricting bank risk taking, including prudent supervision.
1
As failure approached, losses of uninsured deposits were largely offset by newly obtained insured deposits.
2
Daily account-level data show uninsured depositors withdraw from a distressed bank after adverse regulatory news.
3
Findings generalize to banks facing regulatory action and question depositor discipline as a primary constraint on bank risk-taking, emphasizing prudent supervision.
4
Large gross funding inflows occur simultaneously with deposit runoffs and are missed by aggregated deposit measures.
5
Regular and temporary government deposit guarantees reduce deposit outflows, while checking and older accounts are comparatively more stable.

Deposit flows and account-level deposit behavior in distressed and failing banks

The effects of regulatory news, government deposit guarantees, and account characteristics on deposit stability, uninsured deposit outflows, insured deposit inflows, and depositor discipline

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2018-05-01
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Christopher Martin
Manju Puri
Alexander Ufier
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