The Association between Outside Directors, Institutional Investors and the Properties of Management Earnings Forecasts

Связь между внешними директорами, институциональными инвесторами и характеристиками прогнозов прибыли, составляемых руководством
Bipin B. Ajinkya, Sanjeev Bhojraj, Partha Sengupta
2005-05-06

Regulation Fair Disclosureforecast accuracyinstitutional ownershipmanagement earnings forecastsoutside directors
We investigate the relation of the board of directors and institutional ownership with the properties of management earnings forecasts. We find that firms with more outside directors and greater institutional ownership are more likely to issue a forecast and are inclined to forecast more frequently. In addition, these forecasts tend to be more specific, accurate and less optimistically biased. These results are robust to changes specification, Granger causality tests, and simultaneous equation analyses. The results are similar in the pre– and post–Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD) eras. Additional analysis suggests that concentrated institutional ownership is negatively associated with forecast properties. This association is less negative in the post–Reg FD environment, which is consistent with Reg FD reducing the ability of firms to privately communicate information to select audiences.
1
Concentrated institutional ownership is negatively associated with forecast properties, although this negative relation weakens after Regulation Fair Disclosure.
2
Firms with more outside directors are more likely to issue management earnings forecasts and do so more frequently.
3
Greater institutional ownership is associated with a higher likelihood of issuing forecasts and more frequent forecasting.
4
Outside directors and institutional ownership are associated with forecasts that are more specific, accurate, and less optimistically biased.
5
These associations remain robust across model specifications, Granger causality tests, simultaneous-equation analyses, and pre- versus post-Reg FD periods.

Management earnings forecasts issued by firms

How outside-director representation and institutional ownership relate to forecast issuance, frequency, specificity, accuracy, optimistic bias, and the effects of ownership concentration and Regulation Fair Disclosure

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2005-05-06
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Bipin B. Ajinkya
Sanjeev Bhojraj
Partha Sengupta
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