Regional Differences in Life Expectancy in Russia Through the Lens of Epidemiological Transition
Региональные различия в ожидаемой продолжительности жизни в России сквозь призму эпидемиологического перехода
2024-07-19
SCID: 54.1/ah8km4nv
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cause-of-death life tablesepidemiological transitionmortality structurepreventable mortalityregional life expectancy
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Abstract (AI)
An immense territory of Russia with several climatic zones and, accordingly, a fundamentally different styles of life, inevitably results in pronounced varieties in the levels and structure of mortality across the regions of the country. Since the scale and sustainability of differences in mortality in Russia can be considered an entire epidemiological epoch, the evaluation of them through the lens of epidemiological transition seems methodologically appropriate. Regional differences are regarded as a kind of projection of evolution in time, though taking into account modern realities. The analysis of regional differences in mortality is based on such indicators as life expectancy, structure of mortality, i.e., predominantly endogenous to exogenous causes of death ratio, as well as the average age of death from predominantly endogenous causes calculated on the basis of life tables by cause of death. The study showed that according to the periodization of epidemiological transition only Moscow and St. Petersburg are at the final phase of the 3rd stage and are moving to the 4th stage of epidemiological development. Meanwhile, the burden of exogenous and preventable pathologies precludes the completion of the 3rd stage in the regions with high life expectancy according to Russian criteria. The stadial nature of epidemiologic development of Russian regions is currently conditioned by socio-economic and medical determinants, with more pressing medical determinants in regions with high and medium levels of life expectancy and socio-economic factors prevailing in regions with low life expectancy.
Key Findings
1
Even high-life-expectancy regions cannot complete the third stage because of persistent exogenous and preventable causes of death.
2
Only Moscow and St. Petersburg have reached the final phase of the third epidemiological-transition stage and are moving toward the fourth stage.
3
Regional epidemiological development is shaped by both medical and socioeconomic determinants, with medical factors more important in high- and medium-life-expectancy regions and socioeconomic factors dominant in low-life-expectancy regions.
4
Russia’s regions exhibit pronounced differences in life expectancy and mortality structure, reflecting distinct stages of epidemiological transition.
5
The study assesses regional mortality differences using life expectancy, endogenous-to-exogenous mortality ratios, and mean age at death from predominantly endogenous causes derived from cause-specific life tables.
Research Object
Regional mortality and life expectancy patterns in Russia
Research Subject
Regional epidemiological-transition stages and their socioeconomic and medical determinants, reflected in mortality structure, preventable disease burden, and age at death
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2024-07-19
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