Determinants of the Russia and Asia–Pacific energy trade
Факторы, определяющие торговлю энергоносителями между Россией и Азиатско-Тихоокеанским регионом
2021-07-21
SCID: 54.1/bkcwmydq
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GMM panel estimationLinder hypothesisRussia Asia–Pacific energy tradegravity trade theorysanctions impact on energy exports
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Abstract (AI)
Asia remained the largest energy consumer in 2020. The Russian Federation hopes to gain a greater share of the Asian energy market. This study examined the Russian Federation–Asia and Pacific energy trade patterns using gravity trade theory and GMM panel estimation for 17 selected Asia and Pacific economies. We found that the Russian Federation's energy exports to the Asia–Pacific region (APR) followed the Linder hypothesis, and economic growth positively influenced Russian energy exports in the region. Furthermore, The results indicated that the sanctions against Russia since 2014 stimulated an increase in Russian energy exports to the APR. To improve the region's energy security, we recommend developing an energy trading hub in the APR to increase regional pricing power.
Key Findings
1
Economic growth in Asia–Pacific economies positively influences Russian energy exports to the region.
2
Russian energy exports to the Asia–Pacific region follow the Linder hypothesis.
3
Russia–Asia Pacific energy trade patterns were analyzed using gravity trade theory and GMM panel estimation for 17 Asia-Pacific economies.
4
Sanctions against Russia since 2014 stimulated an increase in Russian energy exports to the Asia–Pacific region.
5
To improve regional energy security, the study recommends developing an Asia–Pacific energy trading hub to increase regional pricing power.
Research Object
Russian Federation–Asia-Pacific energy trade flows
Research Subject
Determinants of Russian energy exports to the Asia–Pacific region, including effects of Linder-type demand patterns, economic growth, and post-2014 sanctions
Publication Details
Publication Date
2021-07-21
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