Trends in international and domestic terrorism in Western Europe, 1968–1988
Тенденции международного и внутреннего терроризма в Западной Европе, 1968–1988 гг.
1992-12-01
SCID: 54.1/cfu66hrh
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Western Europedomestic terrorisminternational terrorismterrorism data collectionterrorism trend analysis
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Abstract (AI)
An assessment of the problems related to trend analysis on international and domestic terrorism during two decades, beginning in 1968, including definitions, data collection, and sources, shows that propositions on terrorism in general are almost impossible to make and are not very useful for policy‐making. Nevertheless conclusions are drawn about the number of incidents, number of casualties, types of incidents and target selection. Particular emphasis is placed on the margins of error and the differences based on the various data collection efforts. While the first part concentrates on terrorism on a global scale, the second part deals with Western Europe in particular. Overall and national trends are provided for number of incidents, casualties, incident type, active groups and their tactics and target selection. Special attention is given to the spill‐over effect from the Middle East and the selection of American targets. It is almost impossible to indicate an overall trend for Western Europe. Various European countries experienced and continue to experience severe domestic terrorist problems which in some cases appeared to be far more destructive and lethal than international terrorism. A major conclusion is that researchers should be very careful with trend analysis on empirical data of terrorism, particularly on domestic terrorism. The trends vary from country to country depending on their specific political problems.
Key Findings
1
Broad generalizations about terrorism trends are unreliable and have limited policy value because definitions, data collection, sources, and error margins vary substantially.
2
Domestic terrorism in several European countries was more destructive and lethal than international terrorism during the period examined.
3
No single overall terrorism trend can be identified for Western Europe; national patterns differed according to countries’ specific political problems.
4
Researchers should exercise particular caution when analyzing empirical terrorism trends, especially domestic terrorism data.
5
Terrorism in Western Europe was influenced by spillover from the Middle East, including the targeting of American interests.
6
The study documents trends in incidents, casualties, incident types, active groups, tactics, and target selection globally and across Western European countries from 1968 to 1988.
Research Object
International and domestic terrorism in Western Europe from 1968 to 1988
Research Subject
Trends in terrorism measured by incident and casualty counts, incident types, active groups and tactics, target selection, and differences between countries and data sources
Publication Details
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1992-12-01
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