Bank profitability and inflation: the case of China

Прибыльность банков и инфляция: пример Китая
Yong Tan, Christos Floros
2012-10-04

Chinabank profitabilitybanking sector developmentinflationtwo-step GMM
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the determinants of bank profitability in China. It examines the effects of inflation on bank profitability, while controlling for comprehensive bank‐specific and industry‐specific variables. Design/methodology/approach The sample comprises a total of 101 banks (five state‐owned banks, 12 joint‐stock commercial banks and 84 city commercial banks). The period under consideration extends from 2003‐2009. The two step generalized methods of moments (GMM) estimators are applied. Findings Empirical results exhibit that there is a positive relationship between bank profitability, cost efficiency, banking sector development, stock market development and inflation in China. The authors report that low profitability can be explained by higher volume of non‐traditional activity and higher taxation. Moreover, the authors confirm that there is a competitive environment in the Chinese banking industry. Furthermore, the authors propose policy actions that should be taken to improve bank profitability in China. Research limitations/implications Further research can be conducted by investigating the profitability of numerous branches of all national banks and its determinants. Practical implications The findings of the current study have considerable policy relevance. First, Chinese banks should emphasize the improvement of labour management and training skills, the purpose of which is to increase their productivity and boost the profitability. Furthermore, the government should gradually continue to open the banking and stock market, as the development of the financial sector is helpful in increasing the banks' profitability in China. Originality/value Particular emphasis will be placed on the investigation into the effect of inflation on bank profitability while controlling for most comprehensive internal and external factors.
1
Bank profitability is positively associated with cost efficiency, banking-sector development, stock-market development, and inflation in China.
2
Higher non-traditional activity and higher taxation are associated with lower bank profitability.
3
The findings indicate a competitive environment in China’s banking industry.
4
The study recommends improving labor management and training, while gradually opening banking and stock markets to support profitability.
5
Using two-step GMM estimators for 101 Chinese banks during 2003–2009, the study identifies determinants of bank profitability.

Chinese banks (101 banks: state-owned, joint-stock commercial, and city commercial banks) during 2003–2009

Determinants of bank profitability, particularly the effect of inflation while controlling for bank-specific and industry-specific factors

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2012-10-04
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Yong Tan
Christos Floros
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