Financial Heterogeneity and the Investment Channel of Monetary Policy

Финансовая неоднородность и инвестиционный канал денежно-кредитной политики
Pablo Ottonello, Thomas Winberry
2018-01-01

default riskfinancial frictionsfirm heterogeneityheterogeneous firm New Keynesian modelinvestment channel of monetary policy
We study the role of financial frictions and firm heterogeneity in determining the investment channel of monetary policy. Empirically, we find that firms with low default risk -those with low debt burdens and high "distance to default" -are the most responsive to monetary shocks. We interpret these findings using a heterogeneous firm New Keynesian model with default risk. In our model, low-risk firms are more responsive to monetary shocks because they face a flatter marginal cost curve for financing investment. The aggregate effect of monetary policy may therefore depend on the distribution of default risk, which varies over time.
1
A heterogeneous-firm New Keynesian model with default risk explains this pattern through low-risk firms’ flatter marginal cost curve for financing investment.
2
Financial frictions and firm heterogeneity are central determinants of the monetary policy investment channel.
3
Firms with low default risk—characterized by low debt burdens and high distance to default—respond most strongly to monetary policy shocks.
4
The aggregate investment response to monetary policy depends on the distribution of firms’ default risk, which changes over time.

Firms and the aggregate distribution of firms’ default risk in the investment channel of monetary policy

The responsiveness of firm investment to monetary policy shocks and its dependence on financial frictions, default risk, and the distribution of firm risk

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2018-01-01
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Pablo Ottonello
Thomas Winberry
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