The Use of Machine Learning in Real Estate Research
Использование машинного обучения в исследованиях рынка недвижимости
2023-03-25
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Extra TreesRandom Foresthedonic price modelmachine learningreal estate price prediction
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Abstract (AI)
This research seeks to demonstrate how machine learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, is able to deliver more accurate pricing predictions, using the real estate market as an example. Utilizing 24,936 housing transaction records, this paper employs Extra Trees (ET), k–Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Random Forest (RF) to predict property prices and then compares their results with those of a hedonic price model. In particular, this paper uses a feature (property age x square footage) instead of property age in order to isolate the effect of land depreciation on property prices. Our results suggest that these three algorithms markedly outperform the traditional statistical techniques in terms of explanatory power and error minimization. Machine learning is expected to play an increasing role in shaping our future. However, it may raise questions about the privacy, fairness, and job displacement issues. It is therefore important to pay close attention to the ethical implications of machine learning and ensure that the technology is used responsibly and ethically. Researchers, legislators, and industry players must work together to create appropriate standards and legislation to govern the use of machine learning.
Key Findings
1
All three machine-learning algorithms markedly outperformed conventional statistical techniques in explanatory power and error minimization.
2
Replacing property age with the interaction feature property age × square footage helped isolate land depreciation’s effect on property prices.
3
Responsible adoption requires collaboration among researchers, legislators, and industry stakeholders to establish appropriate ethical standards and legislation.
4
The findings support a growing role for machine learning in real-estate research while highlighting privacy, fairness, and job-displacement risks.
5
Using 24,936 housing transactions, Extra Trees, k-Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest predicted property prices more accurately than a traditional hedonic price model.
Research Object
real estate property prices in the housing market
Research Subject
the accuracy, explanatory power, and error minimization of machine-learning price predictions compared with a hedonic price model, including the effect of property age and square footage on prices
Publication Details
Publication Date
2023-03-25
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