Cashless Payment in Emerging Markets: The Case of Russia
Безналичные платежи на развивающихся рынках: пример России
2022-01-01
SCID: 54.1/e5sgu3j3
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J-curve exponential growthcashless paymente-moneyemerging marketsnational payment system
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Abstract (AI)
Cashless payment has rapidly developed in emerging markets following the digitization of finance. In this paper, by calculating the ratio of cashless payment in Russia, we find that it takes the shape of J-curve exponential growth, unlike in other developed and emerging economies. Although debit cards significantly dominate other types of cashless payment, the development of e-money is also significant. Internal and external factors both account for the J-curve exponential growth in cashless payment, and the external factors have a larger impact. We distinguish the peculiar features in the promotion of cashless payment that are peculiar to Russia and highlight the fact that Russia's national payment system was formed to address rising national security and geopolitical risks. Cashless payment is centralized and administered by the Bank of Russia, in order to digitize the financial sector and the government, with the goal of driving the digital economy.
Key Findings
1
Both internal and external factors drive Russia’s J-curve growth, with external factors exerting the larger influence.
2
Cashless payments are centralized under the Bank of Russia to digitize finance and government and support development of the digital economy.
3
Debit cards dominate Russia’s cashless-payment instruments, while electronic money has also achieved significant development.
4
Russia’s cashless-payment adoption follows J-curve exponential growth, unlike patterns observed in other developed and emerging economies.
5
Russia’s national payment system developed partly in response to increasing national-security and geopolitical risks.
Research Object
Cashless payment in Russia, including debit-card and e-money transactions within the Russian national payment system
Research Subject
The J-curve exponential growth, composition, driving factors, and centralized institutional development of cashless payment, including the roles of internal and external factors and national security considerations
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2022-01-01
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