The role of renewable energy in the global energy transformation

Роль возобновляемой энергетики в глобальной трансформации энергетики
Dolf Gielen, Francisco Boshell, Değer Saygin, Morgan Bazilian, Nicholas Wagner, Ricardo Gorini
2019-01-31

energy efficiencyenergy transitiongreenhouse gas emissions reductionrenewable energywind and solar PV
This paper explores the technical and economic characteristics of an accelerated energy transition to 2050, using new datasets for renewable energy. The analysis indicates that energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies are the core elements of that transition, and their synergies are likewise important. Favourable economics, ubiquitous resources, scalable technology, and significant socio-economic benefits underpin such a transition. Renewable energy can supply two-thirds of the total global energy demand, and contribute to the bulk of the greenhouse gas emissions reduction that is needed between now and 2050 for limiting average global surface temperature increase below 2 °C. Enabling policy and regulatory frameworks will need to be adjusted to mobilise the six-fold acceleration of renewables growth that is needed, with the highest growth estimated for wind and solar PV technologies, complemented by a high level of energy efficiency. Still, to ensure the eventual elimination of carbon dioxide emissions will require new technology and innovation, notably for the transport and manufacturing sectors, which remain largely ignored in the international debate. More attention is needed for emerging infrastructure issues such as charging infrastructure and other sector coupling implications.
1
Energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies are identified as the core, mutually reinforcing elements of an accelerated global energy transition to 2050.
2
Policy and regulatory changes are needed to accelerate renewable-energy growth sixfold, with the strongest expansion expected from wind and solar photovoltaics alongside major efficiency gains.
3
Reaching eventual zero carbon-dioxide emissions requires further innovation, especially in transport and manufacturing, as well as infrastructure such as charging systems and sector coupling.
4
Renewable energy could supply approximately two-thirds of total global energy demand by 2050.
5
Renewables could deliver most of the greenhouse-gas emissions reductions required to keep global average warming below 2 °C.

global energy transition to 2050

the technical, economic, policy, and infrastructure conditions, synergies, and required acceleration of renewable-energy deployment for meeting global energy demand and reducing greenhouse-gas emissions

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2019-01-31
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Authors
Dolf Gielen
Francisco Boshell
Değer Saygin
Morgan Bazilian
Nicholas Wagner
Ricardo Gorini
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