Job Displacement Insurance and (the Lack of) Consumption-Smoothing

Страхование на случай потери работы и (отсутствие) сглаживания потребления
François Gérard, Joana Naritomi
2021-02-25

consumption smoothingjob displacement insurancelayoffpresent-biased preferencesseverance pay
We study the spending profile of workers who experience both a positive transitory income shock (lump-sum severance pay) and a negative permanent income shock (layoff). Using de-identified expenditure and employment data from Brazil, we show that workers increase spending at layoff by 35 percent despite experiencing a 14 percent long-term loss. We find high sensitivity of spending to cash-on-hand across consumption categories and for several sources of variation, including predictable income drops. A model with present-biased workers can rationalize our findings, and highlights the importance of the timing of benefit disbursement for the consumption-smoothing gains of job displacement insurance policies. (JEL D12, G51, J65, J63, O12)
1
A model with present-biased workers can rationalize the observed spending increase at layoff.
2
Spending is highly sensitive to cash-on-hand across consumption categories and under multiple sources of variation, including predictable income declines.
3
The study uses de-identified expenditure and employment data from Brazil to examine consumption responses to severance pay and layoffs.
4
The timing of benefit disbursement is crucial for the consumption-smoothing effectiveness of job displacement insurance policies.
5
Workers increase spending by 35% at layoff despite facing a 14% permanent long-term income loss.

Workers experiencing layoffs and receiving lump-sum severance pay in Brazil

Spending and consumption-smoothing responses to the simultaneous transitory severance-pay shock and permanent income loss from layoff, including the role of benefit-disbursement timing

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Publication Date
2021-02-25
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Authors
François Gérard
Joana Naritomi
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