U.S. Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle

Денежно-кредитная политика США и глобальный финансовый цикл
Silvia Miranda‐Agrippino, Hélène Rey
2020-05-01

Global Financial CycleU.S. monetary policyglobal financial spilloversinternational credit flowsmonetary policy shocks
Abstract U.S. monetary policy shocks induce comovements in the international financial variables that characterize the “Global Financial Cycle.” A single global factor that explains an important share of the variation of risky asset prices around the world decreases significantly after a U.S. monetary tightening. Monetary contractions in the US lead to significant deleveraging of global financial intermediaries, a decline in the provision of domestic credit globally, strong retrenchments of international credit flows, and tightening of foreign financial conditions. Countries with floating exchange rate regimes are subject to similar financial spillovers.
1
A global factor explaining substantial variation in risky asset prices worldwide decreases significantly following a U.S. monetary tightening.
2
Countries with floating exchange rate regimes experience similar financial spillovers from U.S. monetary policy.
3
U.S. monetary contractions cause significant deleveraging by global financial intermediaries and reduce domestic credit provision across countries.
4
U.S. monetary policy shocks generate comovement in international financial variables associated with the Global Financial Cycle.
5
U.S. monetary tightening triggers strong retrenchment of international credit flows and tighter foreign financial conditions.

Global financial variables, asset prices, financial intermediaries, domestic credit, and international credit flows across countries

The international financial spillovers and global financial-cycle responses to U.S. monetary policy shocks, including asset-price comovement, intermediary deleveraging, credit contraction, and tightening of financial conditions

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2020-05-01
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Silvia Miranda‐Agrippino
Hélène Rey
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