The Distribution of Wars over Time

Распределение войн во времени
Edward D. Mansfield
1988-10-01

Kondratieff waveshegemony and warinternational tradewar datasetswar distribution
Much of the empirical research on war has been conducted using only one of a number of data sets that have been compiled by leading scholars of international politics. In view of the low correlation among the data sets, however, one must be cautious in choosing between them for whatever task is at hand. The preliminary findings indicate that, regardless of which data set is used, many of the central tests of important hypotheses concerning Kondratieff waves, international trade, and hegemony and war yield much the same results
1
Across datasets, central tests of hypotheses about Kondratieff waves, international trade, and hegemony and war produce broadly similar results.
2
Empirical war research relies on multiple datasets that exhibit low correlation, making dataset selection consequential for analysis.
3
The preliminary findings suggest that conclusions about these major war-related hypotheses are relatively robust to the choice of dataset.

wars over time as represented in compiled empirical war datasets

the robustness of tests linking war patterns to Kondratieff waves, international trade, and hegemony across alternative datasets

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1988-10-01
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Edward D. Mansfield
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