US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle
Денежно-кредитная политика США и глобальный финансовый цикл
2015-11-01
SCID: 54.1/hfajkq2b
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Global Financial CycleUS monetary policyglobal financial intermediariesinternational credit flowsmonetary policy shocks
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Abstract (AI)
US monetary policy shocks induce comovements in the international financial variables that characterize the "Global Financial Cycle." One global factor explaining an important share of the variation of risky asset prices around the world decreases significantly after a US monetary contraction. Monetary tightening in the US leads to significant deleveraging of global financial intermediaries, a decline in the provision of domestic credit globally, strong retrenchments of international credit flows, and tightening of foreign financial conditions. Countries with floating exchange rate regimes are subject to similar financial spillovers.
Key Findings
1
A US monetary contraction significantly reduces a global factor explaining a substantial share of worldwide risky-asset price variation.
2
Floating exchange rate regimes do not shield countries from similar financial spillovers following US monetary tightening.
3
US monetary policy shocks generate comovement across international financial variables associated with the Global Financial Cycle.
4
US monetary tightening causes significant deleveraging by global financial intermediaries and reduces domestic credit provision worldwide.
5
US monetary tightening strongly retrenches international credit flows and tightens financial conditions in foreign economies.
Research Object
The Global Financial Cycle and international financial variables across countries
Research Subject
The effects of US monetary policy shocks—especially monetary tightening—on global asset prices, financial intermediary leverage, domestic credit provision, international credit flows, and foreign financial conditions
Publication Details
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2015-11-01
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