Assessment of the COVID-19 epidemiological situation in St. Petersburg

Оценка эпидемиологической ситуации по COVID-19 в Санкт-Петербурге
В. Г. Акимкин, С. Н. Кузин, E. N. Kolosovskaya, E. N. Kudryavtceva, Т. А. Семененко, А.А. Плоскирева, Д. В. Дубоделов, E. V. Tivanova, N. Pshenichnaya, Anna V. Kalenskaya, S. V. Yatcishina, O. Yu. Shipulina, E. N. Rodionova, Natalya S. Petrova, И В Соловьева, O. A. Kvasova, Vershinina Am, M. V. Mamoshina, В. В. Клушкина, M. I. Korabelnikova, N. S. Churilova, Ya. V. Panasyuk, N. V. Vlasenko, А. А. Остроушко, E. S. Balmasov, A. V. Mosunov
2021-11-02

COVID-19 epidemiologySARS-CoV-2 transmissionage-associated disease severityepidemiological surveillanceseasonal epidemic cycles
Aim. Identification of epidemiological patterns of the SARS-CoV-2 spread among the population of St. Petersburg during the one-year COVID-19 pandemic period.Materials and methods. The performed analysis focused on the dynamics of COVID-19 cases in St. Petersburg from 2/3/2020 to 4/4/2021 and on the gender-age profile of patients. The information about patients (age, gender, type of the disease, hospitalization, social, and occupational status) was obtained from the database containing the materials from statistical data form No. 058/u.Results. After one year, the dynamics of reported cases of COVID-19 in St. Petersburg shows two cycles of seasonal surge (spring and autumn-winter) and 8 epidemic periods. It has been found that there are no gender-age differences among COVID-19 patients, which can be seen from the relatively similar number of cases among men and women per 100,000 people in each age group during specific epidemic periods. The strong association between clinical manifestations of COVID-19 and the patients' age was detected: Severe cases were more frequently diagnosed in patients over 70 years, regardless of their gender identity. Based on the social and occupational status, the people who were most exposed to the COVID-19 epidemic process were retirees and people whose occupation was associated with health and safety of St. Petersburg. Among the COVID-19 patients, retirees accounted for 13.69% (men) and 17.67% (women). The proportion of healthcare workers was 3.67% (men) and 9.41% (women).Conclusion. It has been assumed that COVID-19 tends to be a seasonal disease featuring annual autumn-winter epidemic cycles. The study addressed prospects of preventive vaccination against COVID-19 in Russia and the importance of tracking the complications pathogenetically associated with the acute phase of the disease in the system of epidemiological surveillance.
1
COVID-19 case rates were relatively similar between men and women within each age group during specific epidemic periods, showing no consistent gender-age differences.
2
During the first pandemic year in St. Petersburg, COVID-19 incidence comprised two seasonal surges—spring and autumn-winter—divided into eight epidemic periods.
3
Retirees and workers responsible for healthcare and public safety were the groups most exposed to the epidemic process; retirees represented 13.69% of male and 17.67% of female patients, while healthcare workers represented 3.67% and 9.41%, respectively.
4
Severe COVID-19 occurred substantially more often among patients older than 70 years, irrespective of gender.
5
The findings support considering COVID-19 as potentially seasonal, with recurring autumn-winter epidemics, and emphasize vaccination and surveillance of complications linked to acute disease.

COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 among the population of St. Petersburg during the first year of the pandemic

Epidemiological patterns of SARS-CoV-2 spread, including temporal dynamics, age-gender distribution, clinical severity, and social and occupational risk profiles

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2021-11-02
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Authors
В. Г. Акимкин
С. Н. Кузин
E. N. Kolosovskaya
E. N. Kudryavtceva
Т. А. Семененко
А.А. Плоскирева
Д. В. Дубоделов
E. V. Tivanova
N. Pshenichnaya
Anna V. Kalenskaya
S. V. Yatcishina
O. Yu. Shipulina
E. N. Rodionova
Natalya S. Petrova
И В Соловьева
O. A. Kvasova
Vershinina Am
M. V. Mamoshina
В. В. Клушкина
M. I. Korabelnikova
N. S. Churilova
Ya. V. Panasyuk
N. V. Vlasenko
А. А. Остроушко
E. S. Balmasov
A. V. Mosunov
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