How successful is commercial DNA testing in resolving British & Irish cases of unknown parentage?

Насколько успешны коммерческие ДНК-тесты при разрешении случаев неизвестного родительства в Великобритании и Ирландии?
John J. Cleary, Maurice Gleeson, Donna Rutherford, Debbie Kennett, Michelle Leonard
2022-10-02

GEDmatch and FTDNAdirect-to-consumer DNAgenetic genealogyinvestigative genetic genealogyunknown parentage
This study is the first to characterise the type of people trying to resolve unknown parentage cases in the UK and Ireland, and how successful their efforts are, using commercial DTC (direct-to-consumer) DNA tests. A survey was conducted of individuals born in the UK or Ireland, or with a biological parent from the UK or Ireland, who had used genetic genealogy as a part of their search for one or both biological parents. Success rates were high with DNA assisting the identification of a birth parent in 48-55% of cases. In an additional 20-21% of cases, DNA identified grandparents or more distant ancestors. The majority of those identifying a biological parent did so within 6 months of receiving their DNA results (39-55% of cases), and within 2 years, 78-87%% had identified a biological parent. When they first got their results, 40% had very close matches (half-first cousin or closer), an additional 33% had close matches in the second cousin range, and the remaining 27% had more distant matches. The survey also attempted to assess the likelihood of success of the combined use of GEDmatch and FTDNA in IGG (investigative genetic genealogy) cases in Britain and Ireland and found that potentially IGG-suitable matches were present in about 60% of cases. These results complement those of earlier studies and have important implications for social policy in the UK and Ireland. Keywords – DNA; genetic genealogy; unknown parentage; adoptee; foundling; unknown father; donor-conceived; survey
1
39–55% of those who identified a biological parent did so within 6 months of receiving DNA results; 78–87% had identified a biological parent within 2 years.
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An additional 20–21% of cases had DNA identifying grandparents or more distant ancestors rather than a parent.
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At time of first results, 40% of searchers had very close matches (half-first cousin or closer), 33% had second-cousin-range matches, and 27% had more distant matches.
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Commercial DTC DNA tests aided identification of a birth parent in 48–55% of UK and Ireland unknown parentage cases.
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Potentially IGG-suitable matches on GEDmatch and FTDNA were present in about 60% of cases for Britain and Ireland.

Individuals born in or with a biological parent from the UK or Ireland who used commercial direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic genealogy tests to search for unknown biological parentage

Effectiveness/success rates and timelines of commercial DTC genetic genealogy (including GEDmatch and FTDNA/IGG) in identifying birth parents, grandparents or more distant ancestors in UK and Ireland unknown-parentage cases

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2022-10-02
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John J. Cleary
Maurice Gleeson
Donna Rutherford
Debbie Kennett
Michelle Leonard
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