Adaptive Management of Renewable Resources.
Адаптивное управление возобновляемыми ресурсами
1987-12-01
SCID: 54.1/jf9u77pa
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Bayesian statistical theoryadaptive managementdynamic modelsharvest policiesrenewable resources
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Abstract (AI)
The author challenges the traditional approach to dealing with uncertainty in the management of such renewable resources as fish and wildlife. He argues that scientific understanding will come from the experience of management as an ongoing, adaptive, and experimental process, rather than through basic research or the development of ecological theory. \n\nThe opening chapters review approaches to formulating management objectives as well as models for understanding how policy choices affect the attainment of these objectives. Subsequent chapters present various statistical methods for understanding the dynamics of uncertainty in managed fish and wildlife populations and for seeking optimum harvest policies in the face of uncertainty. The book concludes with a look at prospects for adaptive management of complex systems, emphasizing such human factors involved in decision making as risk aversion and conflicting objectives as well as biophysical factors. Throughout the text dynamic models and Bayesian statistical theory are used as tools for understanding the behavior of managed systems. These tools are illustrated with simple graphs and plots of data from representative cases. \n\nThis text/reference will serve researchers, graduate students, and resource managers who formulate harvest policies and study the dynamics of harvest populations, as well as analysts (modelers, statisticians, and stock assessment experts) who are concerned with the practice of policy design.
Key Findings
1
Adaptive management of complex systems must incorporate human factors, including risk aversion and conflicting objectives, alongside biophysical dynamics.
2
Dynamic models and Bayesian statistical theory are used as core tools for understanding managed systems and designing resource policies.
3
It develops management frameworks that connect policy choices with resource objectives and examines how uncertainty affects attainment of those objectives.
4
Statistical methods are presented for analyzing uncertainty dynamics in managed fish and wildlife populations and identifying optimum harvest policies under uncertainty.
5
The work challenges traditional uncertainty management, arguing that scientific understanding should emerge from ongoing, adaptive, experimental management rather than basic research alone.
Research Object
Managed renewable resources, specifically fish and wildlife populations
Research Subject
Adaptive management of population dynamics and harvest policies under uncertainty, including biophysical and human decision-making factors
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1987-12-01
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