Climatic Factors as Determinants of International Migration

Климатические факторы как детерминанты международной миграции
Christopher Parsons, Michel Beine
2014-12-11

bilateral migration flowsinternational migrationlong-run climatic factorsmigrant networksnatural disasters
Abstract We examine natural disasters and long‐run climatic factors as potential determinants of international migration, implementing a panel dataset of bilateral migration flows from 1960 to 2000. We find no direct effect of long‐run climatic factors on international migration across our entire sample. These results are robust when conditioning on origin‐country characteristics, when considering migrants returning home, and when accounting for the potential endogeneity of migrant networks. Rather, we find evidence of indirect effects of environmental factors operating through wages. We find that epidemics and miscellaneous incidents spur international migration, and there is strong evidence that natural disasters beget greater flows of migrants to urban environs.
1
Environmental factors influence migration indirectly through wages rather than through long-run climate conditions directly.
2
Epidemics and miscellaneous incidents increase international migration flows.
3
Natural disasters generate larger migrant flows toward urban areas.
4
The absence of a direct climatic effect is robust to origin-country characteristics, returning migrants, and potential endogeneity of migrant networks.
5
Using bilateral migration data from 1960–2000, the study finds no direct effect of long-run climatic factors on international migration overall.

International migration flows, particularly bilateral migration from disaster- and climate-affected origin countries

The direct and indirect effects of long-run climatic factors and natural disasters on international migration, including wage-mediated effects and migration to urban areas

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2014-12-11
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Christopher Parsons
Michel Beine
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