Application of Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Predict the Well Productivity of Fishbone Wells
Применение методов искусственного интеллекта для прогнозирования продуктивности «рыбьего скелета» (fishbone) скважин
2019-11-01
SCID: 54.1/k9dtcs9f
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artificial neural networkfishbone multilateral wellsfuzzy logic systemradial basis networkwell productivity prediction
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Abstract (AI)
Fishbone multilateral wells are applied to enhance well productivity by increasing the contact area between the bottomhole and reservoir region. Fishbone wells are characterized by reduced operational time and a competitive cost in comparison to hydraulic fracturing operations. However, limited models are reported to determine the productivity of fishbone wells. In this paper, several artificial intelligence methods were applied to estimate the performance of fishbone wells producing from a heterogeneous and anisotropic gas reservoir. The well productivity was determined using an artificial neural network, a fuzzy logic system and a radial basis network. The models were developed and validated utilizing 250 data sets, with the inputs being the permeability ratio (Kh/Kv), flowing bottomhole pressure and lateral length. The results showed that the artificial intelligence models were able to predict the fishbone well productivity with an acceptable absolute error of 7.23%. Moreover, a mathematical equation was extracted from the artificial neural network, which is able to provide a simple and direct estimation of fishbone well productivity. Actual flow tests were used to evaluate the reliability of the developed model, and a very acceptable match was obtained between the predicted and actual flow rates, wherein an absolute error of 6.92% was achieved. This paper presents effective models for determining the well performance of complex multilateral wells producing from heterogeneous reservoirs. The developed models will help to reduce the uncertainty associated with numerical methods, and the extracted equation can be inserted into commercial software, thereby significantly reducing deviation between the actual data and simulated results.
Key Findings
1
An explicit mathematical equation was extracted from the artificial neural network to directly estimate fishbone well productivity.
2
Artificial intelligence methods (ANN, fuzzy logic, radial basis network) can predict fishbone well productivity from heterogeneous, anisotropic gas reservoirs.
3
Models were developed and validated on 250 data sets using inputs: permeability ratio (Kh/Kv), flowing bottomhole pressure, and lateral length.
4
The AI models achieved an overall acceptable absolute error of 7.23% in predicting fishbone well productivity.
5
The developed AI models reduce uncertainty of numerical methods and the ANN-derived equation can be integrated into commercial software to decrease simulation deviations.
6
Validation with actual flow tests produced a very acceptable match, achieving an absolute error of 6.92% between predicted and actual flow rates.
Research Object
Fishbone multilateral wells producing from a heterogeneous and anisotropic gas reservoir
Research Subject
Prediction/estimation of well productivity (performance/well flow rates) of fishbone wells using artificial intelligence models (ANN, fuzzy logic, radial basis network) and an extracted ANN-based empirical equation
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2019-11-01
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References available in scid.ai7
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Modeling Fishbones Using the Embedded Discrete Fracture Model Formulation: Sensitivity Analysis and History Matching2015
Productivity Index Prediction for Oil Horizontal Wells Using different Artificial Intelligence Techniques2015
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Fishbone Well Drilling and Completion Technology in Ultra-Thin Reservoir2012
Multilateral Horizontal Well Productivity2005
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