Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
Предстоящая волна Кондратьева, кибернетическая революция и глобальное старение
2016-10-11
SCID: 54.1/kpyx9v5e
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Cybernetic RevolutionKondratieff wavesMANBRIC technologiesglobal ageingself-regulating systems
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Abstract (AI)
In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, technological styles etc.) as well as the ideas of our own theory of production principles and production revolutions. The latest of production revolution is the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that in the 2030s and 2040s the sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single system of MANBRIC-technologies (medico-additive-nano-bio-roboto-info-cognitive technologies). The article also presents a forecast of the process of global ageing and argues why the technological breakthrough will occur in health care sector and connected spheres.
Key Findings
1
A major medical-technology breakthrough is expected to integrate medical, additive, nano, biological, robotic, information, and cognitive technologies into MANBRIC systems.
2
The analysis links Kondratieff waves and historical technological breakthroughs using long-cycle, leading-sector, technological-style, and production-revolution theories.
3
The anticipated final Cybernetic Revolution phase is characterized by the development of self-regulating systems.
4
The health-care sector and related fields are predicted to lead the technological breakthrough because of global population ageing.
5
The sixth Kondratieff wave is forecast to merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution during the 2030s and 2040s.
Research Object
Global socio-economic system experiencing a forthcoming Kondratieff wave, cybernetic (technological) revolution, and demographic ageing
Research Subject
the technological features and societal implications of this convergence, particularly the emergence of MANBRIC technologies and global ageing driven by breakthroughs in health care
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2016-10-11
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