Improved Predictions in Oil Operations Using Artificial Intelligent Techniques
Улучшенные прогнозы в нефтяных операциях с использованием методов искусственного интеллекта
2019-03-13
SCID: 54.1/mvz4fkth
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artificial intelligenceenhanced oil recoveryoil production predictionreservoir performancewellbore completions
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Abstract (AI)
Abstract Oil is considered one of the main drivers that affects the world economy and a key factor in its continuous development. Several operations are used to ensure continues oil production, these operations include; exploration, drilling, production, and reservoir management. Numerous uncertainties and complexities are involved in those operations, which reduce the production performance and increase the operational cost. Several attempts were reported to predict the performance of oil production systems using different approaches, including analytical and numerical methods. However, severe estimation errors and significant deviations were observed between the predicted results and actual field data. This could be due to the different assumptions used to simplify the problems. Therefore, searching for quick and rigorous models to evaluate the oil-production system and anticipate production problems is highly needed. This paper presents a new application of artificial intelligent (AI) techniques to determine the efficiency of several operations including; drilling, production and reservoir performance. For each operation, the most common conditions were applied to develop and evaluate the model reliability. The developed models investigate the significance of different well and reservoir configurations on the system performance. Parameters such as, reservoir permeability, drainage size, wellbore completions, hydrocarbon production rate and choke performance were studied. The primary oil production and enhanced oil recovery (EOR) operations were considered as well as the stimulation processes. Actual data from several oil-fields were used to develop and validate the intelligent models. The novelty of this paper is that the proposed models are reliable and outperform the current methods. This work introduces an effective approach for estimating the performance of oil production system and refine the current numerical or analytical models to improve the reservoir managements.
Key Findings
1
AI techniques were applied to predict efficiency across drilling, production, and reservoir performance operations.
2
Models incorporate primary production, enhanced oil recovery (EOR), and stimulation processes using actual data from several oil fields for development and validation.
3
Models were developed and evaluated under common well and reservoir conditions, studying permeability, drainage size, wellbore completions, production rate, and choke performance.
4
The approach can effectively estimate oil production performance and refine existing numerical/analytical models to improve reservoir management.
5
The proposed AI models are claimed to be reliable and to outperform current analytical and numerical methods in predicting oil production system performance.
Research Object
Oil production systems (including drilling, reservoir and production operations) in oil fields
Research Subject
Prediction and estimation of operational efficiency and performance (drilling, production, reservoir performance, EOR, stimulation) using artificial intelligence techniques, including effects of reservoir permeability, drainage size, wellbore completions, production rate and choke performance
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2019-03-13
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