Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19*

Лихорадочная реакция цен акций на COVID-19*
Stefano Ramelli, Alexander F. Wagner
2020-07-02

COVID-19cash holdingscorporate debtfinancial channelsstock price reactions
Abstract Market reactions to the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) provide new insights into how real shocks and financial policies drive firm value. Initially, internationally oriented firms, especially those more exposed to trade with China, underperformed. As the virus spread to Europe and the United States, corporate debt and cash holdings emerged as important value drivers, relevant even after the Fed intervened in the bond market. The content and tone of conference calls mirror this development over time. Overall, the results illustrate how anticipated real effects from the health crisis, a rare disaster, were amplified through financial channels. (JEL G01, G12, G14, G32, F14) Received: May 27, 2020; editorial decision June 16, 2020 by Editor Andrew Ellul. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.
1
Anticipated real effects of the health crisis were amplified through financial channels, illustrating the market impact of a rare disaster.
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As COVID-19 spread to Europe and the United States, corporate debt and cash holdings became important determinants of firm value.
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Corporate debt and cash holdings remained relevant for stock valuations even after the Federal Reserve intervened in the bond market.
4
Internationally oriented firms, particularly those more exposed to trade with China, initially underperformed following COVID-19’s emergence.
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The content and tone of corporate conference calls evolved over time in ways that mirrored changing market reactions to the pandemic.

Firm stock prices and valuations during the COVID-19 health crisis

Stock-price reactions and the roles of international exposure, corporate debt, cash holdings, and financial-market channels in shaping firm value

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2020-07-02
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Stefano Ramelli
Alexander F. Wagner
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