Modeling of the Characteristics of Coal Burning in Boiler Plants of Thermal Power Plants

Моделирование характеристик сжигания углей в котельных тепловых электростанций
Mirjana Ćeranić, Nikola Davidović, Marko Jarić, Slavko Djuric, Goran Kuzmić, Milan Milotić
2025-08-18

Student’s t-testash (A %)coal characteristicscoefficient of variation (Cv)combustible materials (Vg %)dry flue-gas desulfurization (FGD)lower heating value (Hd kJ·kg−1)moisture (W %)normal distributionstatistical modeling
This script discusses a qualitative analysis of the characteristics of coals burned in the combustion chambers of thermal power plants in Serbia. The study includes the following coal characteristics (mass fraction): moisture (W %) ash (A %), combustible materials (Vg %) and lower heating power (Hd (kJ·kg−1)). Based on the collected data, statistical modeling was conducted, which included the calculation of the mean value (X¯), standard deviation (S), and coefficient of variation (Cv) for each of the listed characteristics. The results indicate that all analyzed characteristics exhibit significant deviations from their mean values, as confirmed by the high values of the coefficient of variation (moisture 70.20%, ash 62.21%, combustible matter 43.33%, and lower heating value 44.10%). Large mass fraction deviations (W), (A), (Vg) and Hd around the mean value may negatively impact the operation of boiler plants and electrostatic precipitators of thermal power plants in Serbia, where the considered coals are burned. Large oscillations of ash (62.21%) around the mean value (17.00%) suggests that it is not feasible to implement dry flue-gas desulfurization (FGD) processes, due to the additional amount of ash. Distribution testing confirmed that all examined parameters can be reasonably approximated by a normal distribution. Subsequent statistical modeling using Student’s t-test at a 0.05 significance level demonstrated strong agreement between the coal characteristics from Serbia and corresponding parameters of coals from Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro. The obtained results enable reliable quality comparison of coals, particularly lignites, across different basins. These findings establish a solid foundation for further energy and technological valorization of these fuel resources.
1
All analyzed coal characteristics show large deviations from their means, with high coefficients of variation: moisture 70.20%, ash 62.21%, combustible matter 43.33%, Hd 44.10%.
2
Distribution tests show parameters are reasonably approximated by a normal distribution, and Student’s t-test (α=0.05) found strong agreement between Serbian coals and coals from Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro.
3
High variability in W, A, Vg, and Hd may negatively affect boiler plant operation and electrostatic precipitators at Serbian thermal power plants.
4
Large ash variability (62.21% around mean ash 17.00%) indicates dry flue-gas desulfurization (FGD) is not feasible due to additional ash amounts.
5
Measured coal characteristics (moisture W, ash A, combustible matter Vg, lower heating value Hd) were statistically modeled using mean, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

Coals burned in the combustion chambers of thermal power plant boiler plants in Serbia

Statistical characteristics and variability of coal properties (moisture W%, ash A%, combustible matter Vg%, lower heating value Hd) and their implications for boiler and electrostatic precipitator operation and suitability for flue-gas desulfurization

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2025-08-18
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Mirjana Ćeranić
Nikola Davidović
Marko Jarić
Slavko Djuric
Goran Kuzmić
Milan Milotić
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