On Target? the International Experience with Achieving Inflation Targets

В цель? Международный опыт достижения инфляционных ориентиров
Scott Roger, Mark Stone
2005-08-01

inflation target missesinflation targetingmonetary policy frameworksmonetary regimestransparency and accountability
This paper examines the international experience with full-fledged inflation targeting monetary regimes. Stylized facts are brought together from a review of the institutional elements of inflation targeting frameworks, a comparison of actual and targeted inflation outcomes, and case studies of large inflation target misses. Inflation targets are missed about 40 percent of the time and often by substantial amounts and for prolonged periods, yet no country has dropped inflation targeting. The resilience of the inflation targeting regime is attributable to the flexibility of the framework, its high standards of transparency and accountability, and the lack of realistic alternatives.
1
Despite large and prolonged target misses, no country examined has abandoned its inflation-targeting regime.
2
Inflation targeting frameworks remain resilient because they combine operational flexibility with high standards of transparency and accountability.
3
Inflation targets are missed approximately 40% of the time, frequently by substantial margins and for extended periods.
4
The paper synthesizes institutional features, target outcomes, and case studies of major inflation-target misses across countries.
5
The regime’s persistence also reflects the absence of realistic alternative monetary-policy frameworks.

full-fledged inflation targeting monetary regimes in countries

international experience with achieving inflation targets, including target-miss frequency and magnitude, regime flexibility, transparency, accountability, and resilience

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2005-08-01
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Scott Roger
Mark Stone
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