Friend and Foe: Russia–Turkey relations before and after the war in Ukraine

Друг и враг: российско-турецкие отношения до и после войны на Украине
Vicken Cheterian
2023-02-28

Russian invasion of UkraineRussia–Turkey relationsgeopolitical competitionstrategic competitiontactical alliance
The interaction between Russia and Turkey since 2015 suggests a new quality in foreign affairs combining tactical alliance and strategic competition. The Russian invasion of Ukraine did not change this. By studying the cases of Syria, Libya, and Nagorno-Karabakh, we observe not only elements of geopolitical competition and cooperation but also that the combination of the two contradictory approaches in foreign affairs created new opportunities beneficial to the two sides. Russian-Turkish interactions are a unique case study in international relations and are conditioned by their geopolitical competition with the west, a fact that the war in Ukraine did not alter.
1
Analysis of Syria, Libya, and Nagorno-Karabakh shows that Russia and Turkey simultaneously competed and cooperated across regional conflicts.
2
Combining cooperation and competition generated new opportunities that benefited both Russia and Turkey.
3
Russia–Turkey interactions are shaped by their geopolitical competition with the West, which persisted despite the war in Ukraine.
4
Since 2015, Russia–Turkey relations have combined tactical alliance with strategic competition, creating a distinct pattern of foreign affairs.
5
The war in Ukraine did not fundamentally alter the contradictory mix of cooperation and geopolitical competition between Russia and Turkey.

Russia–Turkey relations and interactions since 2015, including their involvement in Syria, Libya, and Nagorno-Karabakh

The combination of tactical alliance and strategic geopolitical competition, including cooperation and competition patterns and the opportunities created by them before and after the war in Ukraine

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2023-02-28
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Vicken Cheterian
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