Commodity Prices and Growth in Africa

Цены на сырьевые товары и экономический рост в Африке
Angus Deaton
1999-08-01

Africaauthoritarian rulecommodity pricesdemocratizationeconomic growth
African states that came to independence by the late 1960s made a rapid transition to authoritarian rule during a period of reasonably robust growth. Growth then faltered badly from the mid-1970s to the mid-1990s as these regimes coped with external shocks and varying degrees of fiscal crisis. Leading critics embed Africa's slow growth in failures of governance associated with “weak” authoritarian rule. These provide important insights into policy patterns while suggesting the growth-promoting potential of Africa's recent Democratization.
1
African states that gained independence by the late 1960s rapidly transitioned to authoritarian rule while experiencing relatively robust economic growth.
2
Critics attribute Africa’s slow growth partly to governance failures associated with weak authoritarian rule, explaining problematic policy patterns.
3
Economic growth deteriorated substantially from the mid-1970s through the mid-1990s as authoritarian regimes faced external shocks and fiscal crises.
4
The analysis suggests that Africa’s recent democratization may have potential to promote stronger economic growth.

African states under authoritarian and democratizing regimes

The relationship between commodity-price external shocks, fiscal crises, governance regimes, and economic growth

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1999-08-01
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Angus Deaton
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