The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
Федеративная Демократическая Республика Эфиопия
2016-10-01
SCID: 54.1/tjrp3979
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Article IV ConsultationEthiopiaGrowth and Transformation Planmacroeconomic outlookpublic and private investment
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Abstract (AI)
This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that Ethiopia’s macroeconomic outturn during 2015/16 has been adversely affected by a severe drought and the weak global environment. As a result, output growth is estimated to have slowed down to 6.5 percent in 2015/16. The slowdown was mitigated by effective and timely policy responses to the drought, and buoyant industrial and services sectors. Over the medium-term, growth is projected to recover to within the 7.3–7.5 percent range, reflecting the growth-oriented reforms envisaged in the recently adopted second Growth and Transformation Plan. Public investment is projected to moderate, while private investment is projected to increase gradually.
Key Findings
1
Ethiopia’s output growth slowed to an estimated 6.5 percent in 2015/16, affected by severe drought and a weak global environment.
2
Medium-term growth is projected to recover to 7.3–7.5 percent under reforms in the second Growth and Transformation Plan.
3
Public investment is expected to moderate, while private investment is projected to increase gradually.
4
Timely and effective drought-response policies, together with buoyant industrial and services sectors, mitigated the economic slowdown.
Research Object
The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
Research Subject
Ethiopia’s macroeconomic performance, growth outlook, and investment dynamics under drought conditions and policy responses
Publication Details
Publication Date
2016-10-01
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