Fiscal maneuver and restructuring of the Russian economy

Бюджетный маневр и реструктуризация российской экономики
A. Kudrin, Ilya Sokolov
2017-09-01

fiscal policyfiscal rulefiscal stabilityproductive spendingpublic debt service
The paper discusses fiscal policy parameters through 2024. The suggested way to ensure long-term fiscal stability is stabilizing both the general government revenues and expenditures as percentages of GDP at levels differing by the public debt service payments and then applying a new version of the fiscal rule. The redistribution of fiscal spending from unproductive to productive areas (primarily investment in human and physical capital) is considered to boost economic growth. The possible use of additional spending on education, public health, and transport systems is presented, as is the optimization of expenditures in nonproductive areas.
1
A revised fiscal rule is presented as a mechanism for achieving long-term fiscal stability through coordinated revenue and expenditure stabilization.
2
Additional spending on education, public health, and transport systems is considered a potential component of economic restructuring.
3
Optimizing expenditures in nonproductive areas is proposed to create fiscal space for growth-enhancing priorities.
4
Redirecting fiscal spending from unproductive uses toward human and physical capital investment is identified as a way to promote economic growth.
5
The paper proposes stabilizing general government revenues and expenditures as shares of GDP, with their difference reflecting public debt service payments.

Russian fiscal policy and the structure of government spending through 2024

Fiscal stability and economic growth effects of stabilizing government revenues and expenditures, applying a revised fiscal rule, and reallocating spending toward productive areas

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2017-09-01
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A. Kudrin
Ilya Sokolov
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