GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM ANALYSIS OF RABIES SPREAD IN ISLAND FOREST-STEPPE OF EAST SIBERIA

Геоинформационный анализ распространения бешенства в островной лесостепи Восточной Сибири
I. D. Zarva, Alexandr D. Botvinkin, D.V. Goryaev, Federal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Krasnoyarsk Region, PETR M. DEMCHIN, Galina Dmitrieva, TATIANA A. ZAYKOVA, GALINA V. LUTSENKO, TATIANA G. ROMANOVA, Federal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Republic of Khakassia, MAXIM V. RUSIN, O. V. Sorokina, YULIA E. SUTURINA, ELENA YU. SHALGINOVA, LIDIA V. SHMATOVA
2019-06-01

geographic information systemisland forest-steppeoral vaccinationrabies spreadspatiotemporal analysis
Aim. To identify spatiotemporal features of rabies spread in island forest-steppe areas of East Siberia, a geographic region where this infection was not previously recorded among foxes.Materials and Methods. We analyzed 871 cases of rabies in animals registered during 20022018 in Republic of Khakassia and Krasnoyarsk Region. Mapping was carried out using geographic information system technologies (QGIS 3.6.3 program). The cartograms were prepared annually.Results. About 50% of rabies cases were registered among foxes (Vulpes vulpes), and the cases were mainly confined to the steppe and forest-steppe landscapes. The spread of rabies beyond the forest-steppe hollows occurred along the valleys of large rivers with an average speed of 142.9 kmper year (б = 63.7).Conclusion. After the introduction of the virus in 2002, rabies spread over 3 years to all the steppe and forest-steppe hollows of the Yenisey Siberia. Subsequently, a natural focus with pulsating boundaries was formed. The core of the outbreak is located in the Minusinsk and Chulym-Yenisei hollows. The results of the mapping can be used to combat rabies, for instance, in performing oral vaccination of foxes.
1
A natural rabies focus with pulsating boundaries subsequently formed, centered in the Minusinsk and Chulym-Yenisei hollows; mapping supports targeted oral fox vaccination.
2
Approximately 50% of rabies cases occurred in red foxes, with cases concentrated mainly in steppe and forest-steppe landscapes.
3
Rabies spread beyond forest-steppe hollows along major river valleys at an average rate of 142.9 km per year (σ = 63.7).
4
The study analyzed 871 animal rabies cases recorded from 2002–2018 in Khakassia and the Krasnoyarsk Region using QGIS-based annual mapping.
5
Within three years after virus introduction in 2002, rabies reached all steppe and forest-steppe hollows of Yenisey Siberia.

Rabies spread among animals, particularly red foxes, in the island forest-steppe landscapes of East Siberia (Republic of Khakassia and Krasnoyarsk Region)

Spatiotemporal patterns, landscape confinement, and river-valley expansion dynamics of rabies spread during 2002–2018

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2019-06-01
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I. D. Zarva
Alexandr D. Botvinkin
D.V. Goryaev
Federal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Krasnoyarsk Region
PETR M. DEMCHIN
Galina Dmitrieva
TATIANA A. ZAYKOVA
GALINA V. LUTSENKO
TATIANA G. ROMANOVA
Federal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Republic of Khakassia
MAXIM V. RUSIN
O. V. Sorokina
YULIA E. SUTURINA
ELENA YU. SHALGINOVA
LIDIA V. SHMATOVA
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