Technocratic Keynesianism: a paradigm shift without legislative change

Технократический кейнсианизм: смена парадигмы без законодательных изменений
Jens van ’t Klooster
2021-12-31

European Central BankEuropean Economic and Monetary UnionEuropean Union economic governanceTechnocratic Keynesianismstrategic ambiguity
Despite anticipated curtailment of their powers, the past decade saw technocratic actors take on an increasingly powerful role in economic governance. Focusing on the EU, I analyse these epochal shifts as a move away from the market liberal paradigm that informed the 1992 European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). The 1992 EMU combines a highly restrictive attitude to public money creation with a permissive laissez-faire attitude to private credit money. In the face of the dual crises of COVID-19 and the climate emergency, EU technocrats have abandoned key tenets of the EMU. The European Central Bank provides targeted and large-scale support for pandemic-related fiscal expenditures. Banking regulators and supervisors actively guide the allocation of credit with an eye to its economic and environmental impact. However, constitutional structures lag ideational shifts and the new technocracy is haunted by issues of legality and legitimacy. To pursue the new policies within the old constitutional structures, policymakers engage in strategic ambiguity: the policies are justified in terms of both new economic policy priorities, as well as by reference to the instruments and goals of the earlier market liberal paradigm.
1
Constitutional structures have not caught up with these policy changes, prompting policymakers to use strategic ambiguity to address continuing legality and legitimacy problems.
2
During the COVID-19 and climate crises, the European Central Bank provided targeted, large-scale support for pandemic-related fiscal spending, abandoning restrictive EMU principles on public money creation.
3
EU banking regulators and supervisors increasingly direct credit allocation according to economic and environmental effects, replacing a permissive laissez-faire approach to private credit.
4
EU technocratic actors have gained greater influence over economic governance during the past decade, despite expectations that their powers would be curtailed.
5
The EU is shifting away from the market-liberal paradigm embedded in the 1992 European Economic and Monetary Union.

EU economic governance and its technocratic institutions, particularly the European Central Bank and banking regulators and supervisors, during the COVID-19 and climate crises

The paradigm shift from EMU market liberalism toward technocratic Keynesianism, including targeted monetary support for fiscal spending and credit-allocation guidance, and its constitutional legitimacy and legality

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2021-12-31
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Jens van ’t Klooster
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