How firm’s perception of economic policy uncertainty influences innovation quality

Влияние восприятия фирмами неопределенности экономической политики на качество инноваций
Chun‐Ping Chang, Hua‐Tang Yin, Renai Jiang, Zulong Su, Shurui Hu
2024-05-15

PEPUR&D investment intensitycollaborative R&Dinnovation qualityperception of economic policy uncertainty
Comprehending the consequences of firms’ perception of uncertainty is crucial in the context of a dynamic global economy. Based on a data set of China A-listed firms during 2007-2019, this paper constructs the indicator of firms’ perception of economic policy uncertainty (PEPU) through a textual analysis approach and examines its impact on the quality of firms’ innovation outputs. Employing multi-dimension measures, we find that corporate PEPU has a noteworthy negative impact on the quality of corporate innovation output. Further analysis shows that firms scale down their R&D investment intensity and gravitate towards conservative R&D projects as firms’ PEPU rises. Additionally, the firm will enhance its collaborative R&D efforts with other firms to mitigate risk. These strategic R&D behaviors guarantee the quantitative stability of a firm’s innovation output, but they also undermine firms’ innovation quality. These findings have significant policy implications for the policy-making process in emerging markets.
1
A firm-level Perception of Economic Policy Uncertainty (PEPU) indicator was constructed using textual analysis for China A-listed firms (2007–2019).
2
As PEPU rises, firms reduce R&D investment intensity and shift toward more conservative R&D projects.
3
Firms increase collaborative R&D with other firms under higher PEPU to mitigate risk, preserving innovation quantity but reducing innovation quality.
4
Higher corporate PEPU has a significant negative impact on the quality of firms’ innovation outputs across multiple measures.
5
These strategic responses to PEPU imply policy-relevant effects on innovation quality in emerging markets.

China A-listed firms (2007–2019) as agents perceiving economic policy uncertainty

Effect of firms' perception of economic policy uncertainty (PEPU) on the quality of firms' innovation outputs, including changes in R&D intensity, project conservatism, and collaborative R&D behavior

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2024-05-15
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Chun‐Ping Chang
Hua‐Tang Yin
Renai Jiang
Zulong Su
Shurui Hu
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