Strategies of Russian industrial enterprises’ importing behavior under economic sanctions

Стратегии импортного поведения российских промышленных предприятий в условиях экономических санкций
Victoria Golikova, Boris Kuznetsov
2021-07-12

Bi-probit econometric estimationsRussian industrial enterpriseseconomic sanctionsimport substitutionimporting behavior
The paper utilizes survey data of 2014 and 2018 for the analysis of import as one of the transmission channels of external shocks on the behavior of Russian industrial enterprises. The study aims to reveal strategies of importing under sanctions’ regime and evaluate the potential of import substitution. It demonstrates sustainability of business strategies with regard to importing and maintaining trends of high dependence on import equipment for technological modernization and competitiveness of products. The current scale of import substitution is modest, there is a lack of substantial transformation of geography of importing except radically diminished share of importers from Ukraine. Bi-probit econometric estimations that take into consideration firm’ simultaneous involvement in importing of interim products and equipment demonstrate that import of the former is critically important for the firms exporting to Europe, while the latter is associated with exporting to the members of the Customs’ Union and the Commonwealth of Independent States.
1
Bi-probit estimates show that intermediate-goods imports are critically important for firms exporting to Europe.
2
Enterprises remain highly dependent on imported equipment for technological modernization and maintaining product competitiveness.
3
Equipment imports are associated with exports to Customs Union and Commonwealth of Independent States member countries.
4
Import substitution expanded only modestly, with little substantial change in import geography except for a sharply reduced share of Ukrainian importers.
5
Survey data from 2014 and 2018 show that Russian industrial enterprises maintained stable importing strategies despite the sanctions regime.

Russian industrial enterprises’ importing behavior under economic sanctions

Importing strategies, import-substitution potential, and the relationship between imports of intermediate products and equipment and firms’ export destinations

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Publication Date
2021-07-12
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Authors
Victoria Golikova
Boris Kuznetsov
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