Technology Adoption in the Presence of Network Externalities

Принятие технологий в присутствии сетевых внешних эффектов
Michael L. Katz, Carl Shapiro
1986-08-01

compatibility vs standardizationmarket dominance dynamicsnetwork externalitiessponsored technologytechnology adoption
We analyze technology adoption in industries where network externalities are significant. The pattern of adoption depends on whether technologies are sponsored. A sponsor is an entity that has property rights to the technology and hence is willing to make investments to promote it. Key findings include the following: (1) compatibility tends to be undersupplied by the market, but excessive standardization can occur; (2) in the absence of sponsors, the technology superior today has a strategic advantage and is likely to dominate the market; (3) when one of two rival technologies is sponsored, that technology has a strategic advantage and may be adopted even if it is inferior; (4) when two competing technologies both are sponsored, the technology that will be superior tomorrow has a strategic advantage.
1
If one of two rival technologies is sponsored, the sponsored technology gains a strategic advantage and may be adopted even if it is inferior.
2
Market provision of compatibility is typically insufficient, but the market can also produce excessive standardization.
3
When both competing technologies are sponsored, the technology expected to be superior in the future holds the strategic advantage.
4
Without sponsors, the technology that is currently superior holds a strategic advantage and is likely to dominate adoption.

Technology adoption in industries with significant network externalities

How sponsorship, compatibility/standardization, and relative current or future superiority determine adoption patterns and market dominance of competing technologies

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1986-08-01
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Michael L. Katz
Carl Shapiro
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