Kuhn Versus Lakatos, or Paradigms Versus Research Programmes in the History of Economics

Кун против Лакатоса, или парадигмы против исследовательских программ в истории экономики
Mark Blaug
1975-11-01

KuhnLakatosfalsifiable predictionsmethodology of positive economicsphilosophy of economics
In the 1950's and 1960's economists learned their methodology from Popper. Not that many of them read Popper. Instead, they read Friedman, and perhaps few of them realized that Friedman is simply Popper-with-a-twist applied to economics. To be sure, Friedman was criticized, but the "Essay on the Methodology of Positive Economics" nevertheless survived to become the one article on methodology that virtually every economist has read at some stage in his career. The idea that unrealistic "assumptions" are nothing to worry about, provided that the theory deduced from them culminates in falsifiable predictions, carried conviction to economists long inclined by habit and tradition to take a purely instrumentalist view of their subject.
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Despite criticism, Friedman’s “Essay on the Methodology of Positive Economics” became a foundational methodology article read by virtually every economist.
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During the 1950s and 1960s, economists largely learned methodology through Friedman rather than by directly reading Popper.
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Friedman’s claim that unrealistic assumptions are acceptable if theories produce falsifiable predictions became highly influential among economists.
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Friedman’s methodology is characterized as Popperian falsificationism adapted to economics, with an instrumentalist twist.
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The abstract links economists’ acceptance of Friedman’s approach to longstanding instrumentalist habits and traditions in the discipline.

methodological thinking in economics

the influence and adaptation of Popperian falsificationism, particularly through Friedman’s instrumentalist methodology and the acceptance of unrealistic assumptions yielding falsifiable predictions

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1975-11-01
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Mark Blaug
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