The New Economics of Industrial Policy

Новая экономика промышленной политики
Dani Rodrik, Réka Juhász, Nathaniel Lane
2023-08-01

East Asian industrializationcausal inferencedeindustrializationindustrial policypolicy measurement
We discuss the considerable literature that has developed in recent years providing rigorous evidence on how industrial policies work.This literature is a significant improvement over the earlier generation of empirical work, which was largely correlational and marred by interpretational problems.On the whole, the recent crop of papers offers a more positive take on industrial policy.We review the standard rationales and critiques of industrial policy and provide a broad overview of new empirical approaches to measurement.We discuss how the recent literature, paying close attention to measurement, causal inference, and economic structure, is offering a nuanced and contextual understanding of the effects of industrial policy.We reevaluate the East Asian experience with industrial policy in light of recent results.Finally, we conclude by reviewing how industrial policy is being reshaped by a new understanding of governance, a richer set of policy instruments beyond subsidies, and the reality of deindustrialization.
1
Industrial policy is being reshaped by improved governance concepts, policy instruments beyond subsidies, and the reality of deindustrialization.
2
Industrial-policy effects are nuanced and context-dependent, shaped by measurement choices, causal identification, and underlying economic structure.
3
Recent evidence prompts a re-evaluation of the East Asian experience with industrial policy.
4
Recent industrial-policy research uses stronger measurement and causal-inference methods than earlier correlational studies, reducing major interpretational problems.
5
The newer empirical literature generally finds more favorable effects of industrial policy than the earlier generation of research.

industrial policy

the effects, rationales, critiques, measurement, and governance of industrial policy, including its performance across economic contexts

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2023-08-01
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Authors
Dani Rodrik
Réka Juhász
Nathaniel Lane
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