Inflation Targeting at 20 - Achievements and Challenges
Инфляционное таргетирование: 20 лет — достижения и проблемы
2009-10-01
SCID: 54.1/yayb8es6
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emerging market economiesfinancial stabilityflexible inflation targetinginflation targetingmacroeconomic performance
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Abstract (AI)
This paper provides an overview of inflation targeting frameworks and macroeconomic performance under inflation targeting. Inflation targeting frameworks are generally quite similar across countries, and a broad consensus has developed in favor of "flexible" inflation targeting. The evidence shows that, although inflation target ranges are missed frequently in most countries, the inflation and growth performance under inflation targeting compares very favorably with performance under alternative frameworks. Inflation targeters also tentatively appear to be coping better with the commodity price and financial shocks in 2007-2009 than non-inflation targeters. Key issues going forward include adapting inflation targeting to emerging market and developing countries, and incorporating financial stability issues into the framework.
Key Findings
1
Although inflation targets are frequently missed, countries using inflation targeting achieve inflation and growth outcomes that compare favorably with alternative monetary frameworks.
2
Future challenges include adapting inflation targeting to emerging and developing economies and integrating financial-stability considerations into the framework.
3
Inflation-targeting countries tentatively appear to have managed the 2007–2009 commodity-price and financial shocks better than non-targeting countries.
4
Inflation-targeting frameworks are broadly similar across countries, with a growing consensus supporting flexible inflation targeting.
Research Object
inflation targeting frameworks and macroeconomic performance under inflation targeting across countries
Research Subject
the frameworks’ effectiveness, flexibility, target-miss frequency, inflation and growth outcomes, resilience to commodity-price and financial shocks, and adaptation to emerging economies and financial-stability concerns
Publication Details
Publication Date
2009-10-01
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