Interpretability of machine learning‐based prediction models in healthcare

Интерпретируемость предсказательных моделей машинного обучения в здравоохранении
Gregor Stiglic, Primoz Kocbek, Nino Fijacko, Marinka Zitnik, Katrien Verbert, Leona Cilar
2020-06-29

global interpretabilityinterpretabilitylocal interpretabilitymodel-agnostic approachesmodel-specific techniques
Abstract There is a need of ensuring that learning (ML) models are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end‐users. Further, interpretable ML models allow healthcare experts to make reasonable and data‐driven decisions to provide personalized decisions that can ultimately lead to higher quality of service in healthcare. Generally, we can classify interpretability approaches in two groups where the first focuses on personalized interpretation (local interpretability) while the second summarizes prediction models on a population level (global interpretability). Alternatively, we can group interpretability methods into model‐specific techniques, which are designed to interpret predictions generated by a specific model, such as a neural network, and model‐agnostic approaches, which provide easy‐to‐understand explanations of predictions made by any ML model. Here, we give an overview of interpretability approaches using structured data and provide examples of practical interpretability of ML in different areas of healthcare, including prediction of health‐related outcomes, optimizing treatments, or improving the efficiency of screening for specific conditions. Further, we outline future directions for interpretable ML and highlight the importance of developing algorithmic solutions that can enable ML driven decision making in high‐stakes healthcare problems. This article is categorized under: Application Areas > Health Care
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Future directions emphasize developing algorithmic solutions to support ML-driven decision making in high-stakes healthcare settings.
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Higher interpretability allows healthcare experts to make reasonable, data-driven, personalized decisions improving quality of care.
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Interpretability approaches can be classified as local (personalized) or global (population-level) explanations.
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Interpretable ML models enable easier comprehension and explanation of predictions for healthcare end-users.
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Methods also divide into model-specific techniques (e.g., for neural networks) and model-agnostic approaches applicable to any ML model.
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The paper surveys interpretability methods for structured healthcare data with practical examples: outcome prediction, treatment optimization, and screening efficiency improvements.

Interpretability approaches for machine learning prediction models applied in healthcare using structured data

Methods and techniques for explaining and understanding ML model predictions (local vs global, model-specific vs model-agnostic) to enable comprehension, personalized and population-level decision support, and safe ML-driven decision making in high-stakes healthcare tasks

Publication Details
Publication Date
2020-06-29
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Authors
Gregor Stiglic
Primoz Kocbek
Nino Fijacko
Marinka Zitnik
Katrien Verbert
Leona Cilar
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