The Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (CDRMIP): rationale and experimental protocol for CMIP6

Проект межсравнения моделей удаления углекислого газа (CDRMIP): обоснование и экспериментальный протокол для CMIP6
David P. Keller, Andrew Lenton, Vivian Scott, Naomi E. Vaughan, Nico Bauer, Duoying Ji, Chris Jones, Ben Kravitz, Helene Muri, Kirsten Zickfeld
2018-03-29

CDRMIPCMIP6Carbon dioxide removalDirect air captureEarth system models
Abstract. The recent IPCC reports state that continued anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are changing the climate, threatening severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts. Slow progress in emissions reduction to mitigate climate change is resulting in increased attention to what is called geoengineering, climate engineering, or climate intervention – deliberate interventions to counter climate change that seek to either modify the Earth's radiation budget or remove greenhouse gases such as CO2 from the atmosphere. When focused on CO2, the latter of these categories is called carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Future emission scenarios that stay well below 2 °C, and all emission scenarios that do not exceed 1.5 °C warming by the year 2100, require some form of CDR. At present, there is little consensus on the climate impacts and atmospheric CO2 reduction efficacy of the different types of proposed CDR. To address this need, the Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (or CDRMIP) was initiated. This project brings together models of the Earth system in a common framework to explore the potential, impacts, and challenges of CDR. Here, we describe the first set of CDRMIP experiments, which are formally part of the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). These experiments are designed to address questions concerning CDR-induced climate reversibility, the response of the Earth system to direct atmospheric CO2 removal (direct air capture and storage), and the CDR potential and impacts of afforestation and reforestation, as well as ocean alkalinization.>
1
CDRMIP establishes a common Earth-system-model framework within CMIP6 to assess the potential, impacts, and challenges of carbon dioxide removal.
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Carbon dioxide removal is required in future scenarios staying well below 2°C and in all scenarios limiting warming to 1.5°C by 2100.
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The initial CDRMIP experiments investigate climate reversibility after CDR, direct atmospheric CO2 removal through direct air capture and storage, and the effects of afforestation, reforestation, and ocean alkalinization.
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There is little consensus about the climate impacts and atmospheric CO2-reduction efficacy of different CDR approaches.

Earth system responses to carbon dioxide removal (CDR) interventions, including direct air capture and storage, afforestation and reforestation, and ocean alkalinization

The climate impacts, atmospheric CO2 reduction efficacy, reversibility, potential, and challenges of different CDR approaches

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Publication Date
2018-03-29
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David P. Keller
Andrew Lenton
Vivian Scott
Naomi E. Vaughan
Nico Bauer
Duoying Ji
Chris Jones
Ben Kravitz
Helene Muri
Kirsten Zickfeld
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