Political partisanship influences behavioral responses to governors’ recommendations for COVID-19 prevention in the United States

Влияние политической партийности на поведенческие реакции на рекомендации губернаторов по профилактике COVID-19 в США
Guy Grossman, Soojong Kim, JONAH REXER, Harsha Thirumurthy
2020-09-15

COVID-19 preventiongovernors' recommendationsmobile phone mobility dataphysical distancingpolitical partisanship
Voluntary physical distancing is essential for preventing the spread of COVID-19. We assessed the role of political partisanship in individuals' compliance with physical distancing recommendations of political leaders using data on mobility from a sample of mobile phones in 3,100 counties in the United States during March 2020, county-level partisan preferences, information about the political affiliation of state governors, and the timing of their communications about COVID-19 prevention. Regression analyses examined how political preferences influenced the association between governors' COVID-19 communications and residents' mobility patterns. Governors' recommendations for residents to stay at home preceded stay-at-home orders and led to a significant reduction in mobility that was comparable to the effect of the orders themselves. Effects were larger in Democratic- than in Republican-leaning counties, a pattern more pronounced under Republican governors. Democratic-leaning counties also responded more strongly to recommendations from Republican than from Democratic governors. Political partisanship influences citizens' decisions to voluntarily engage in physical distancing in response to communications by their governor.
1
Democratic-leaning counties responded more strongly to recommendations from Republican governors than to those from Democratic governors.
2
Governors’ recommendations to stay home significantly reduced residents’ mobility before formal stay-at-home orders, with effects comparable to the orders themselves.
3
Mobility reductions following governors’ COVID-19 recommendations were larger in Democratic-leaning than Republican-leaning counties.
4
Partisan differences in responses were especially pronounced when recommendations came from Republican governors.
5
Political partisanship shapes voluntary physical distancing responses to governors’ COVID-19 prevention communications.

Residents’ voluntary physical distancing behavior in 3,100 U.S. counties in response to state governors’ COVID-19 prevention communications

The influence of political partisanship, governor affiliation, and stay-at-home recommendations on residents’ mobility and compliance with physical distancing

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2020-09-15
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Guy Grossman
Soojong Kim
JONAH REXER
Harsha Thirumurthy
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